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Adam Shelley vs. Simone Patrizi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Adam Shelley vs Simone Patrizi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: March 8, 2025
  • Time: 04:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Adam Shelley and Simone Patrizi face off in an MMA match as part of Cage Warriors. Both fighters are closely matched, with Shelley slightly favored in some aspects but Patrizi having a strong reputation as well.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have shown strong skills in their respective careers. Shelley's recent performances indicate a solid ground game, while Patrizi is known for his aggressive striking.
  • There is no available head-to-head data between these fighters, making it a first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is part of a significant event, which might add pressure but also provides a high level of motivation for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking a win to advance their careers in Cage Warriors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 for Adam Shelley, -120 for Simone Patrizi Adam Shelley ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Adam Shelley is slightly favored due to his recent form, but Simone Patrizi's aggressive style could pose a significant challenge.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Adam Shelley


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Levan Kirtadze vs. Baysangur Makaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Levan Kirtadze vs Baysangur Makaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Baltiska Hallen, Malmö, Sweden

Game Overview

This MMA match between Levan Kirtadze and Baysangur Makaev will be the main event at Fight Club Rush 24 in Malmö, Sweden. Levan Kirtadze, known as 'Piranha', has a professional record of 13-4 with 9 KOs. Baysangur Makaev is favored to win with odds of -175 for the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Levan Kirtadze is known for his aggressive style with a strong knockout record. Baysangur Makaev is favored, indicating a strong recent performance.
  • There is no reported head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is in Sweden, which might slightly favor Makaev due to less travel for some fighters, but this is not a significant factor.
  • Both fighters will be highly motivated, especially since this could be a title fight or a significant step towards a title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baysangur Makaev: -175, Levan Kirtadze: +135 Baysangur Makaev ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baysangur Makaev -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Makaev at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Makaev is favored to win, but Levan Kirtadze's knockout power makes him a dangerous opponent.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO/KO in favor of Baysangur Makaev


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Kevin Dolvik vs. John Oldenqvist Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Kevin Dolvik vs John Oldenqvist – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Malmö, Sweden

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Kevin Dolvik and John Oldenqvist on May 24, 2025, is a highly anticipated lightweight fight scheduled at Malmö, Sweden. Kevin Dolvik enters as the home favorite with odds of -170 compared to John Oldenqvist's underdog status at +130. Both fighters bring solid regional experience, but Dolvik is viewed as the more promising prospect with strong recent training reports and positive hype from his management. The bout will test Dolvik's development against Oldenqvist's seasoned resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kevin Dolvik has demonstrated consistent improvement with aggressive striking and solid ground control in recent matches, while John Oldenqvist relies on a durable defense and counter-striking but has fewer recent high-profile wins.
  • No prior recorded head-to-head bouts between Kevin Dolvik and John Oldenqvist, making this a fresh contest where strategy and adaptability will be key.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match, indicating both are expected to be in optimal condition.
  • The fight venue in Malmö provides a slight home advantage for Kevin Dolvik. There is no indication of external disruptions or unfavorable conditions affecting the fighters.
  • Dolvik shows strong motivation, supported by his management's enthusiasm and the potential to elevate his career status with a high-profile win. Oldenqvist aims to capitalize on the underdog position to upset expectations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kevin Dolvik: -170, John Oldenqvist: +130 Kevin Dolvik ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Kevin Dolvik -1.5 rounds: -110, John Oldenqvist +1.5 rounds: -110 Kevin Dolvik to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kevin Dolvik 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kevin Dolvik at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Dolvik is favored to win due to his recent form, home advantage, and stronger betting odds. The fight likely leans towards a decision or late-round finish favoring Dolvik, but Oldenqvist's resilience could make it competitive.

Predicted Score: Kevin Dolvik wins by decision in 3 rounds


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Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno Lopes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, 6650 El Camino Rd, Las Vegas, NV 89118

Game Overview

Dustin Jacoby faces Bruno Lopes in a light heavyweight bout on the main card of UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs Barber at UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The fight is scheduled for May 31, 2025, with the expected walkout time around 2:10 AM UTC. Both fighters bring contrasting levels of activity and experience, with Jacoby being slightly more active recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dustin Jacoby has fought more frequently over the past two years, averaging a fight every 5 months and 1 day, accumulating 11 rounds in his last 5 bouts with an average fight duration of 2.2 rounds. Bruno Lopes, meanwhile, has been less active, fighting every 6 months and 10 days on average, totaling 10 rounds in his last 5 fights with an average fight length of 2 rounds.
  • There is no record of previous head-to-head matchups between Dustin Jacoby and Bruno Lopes, making this their first encounter competitively.
  • No publicly available data indicates recent injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for both fighters with no significant external conditions expected to impact the fight. The main card placement suggests a high-stakes environment that may affect fighter motivation and performance.
  • Dustin Jacoby's higher activity level and experience on the UFC main card may offer him psychological and competitive advantages. Bruno Lopes may be motivated to upset a more experienced opponent and improve his standing in the light heavyweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dustin Jacoby: -192, Bruno Lopes: 148 Dustin Jacoby to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Jacoby -1.5 rounds (-110), Lopes +1.5 rounds (-110) Jacoby to cover the spread (-1.5 rounds) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-120), Under 2.5 rounds (+100) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dustin Jacoby -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dustin Jacoby at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dustin Jacoby is favored to win due to his recent activity, experience, and slightly better odds. Jacoby’s fighting style and recent form suggest he could secure a win either by striking or late stoppage, though Lopes' resilience and skill set could challenge him.

Predicted Score: Dustin Jacoby wins by decision or late round TKO, fight expected to last approximately 3 rounds.


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Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Gilbert Burns vs Michael Morales – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 17, 2025
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada

Game Overview

Gilbert Burns faces off against Michael Morales in a crucial welterweight bout. Burns, a former UFC title challenger, is on a three-fight losing streak and seeks to revive his career. Morales, undefeated in the UFC, looks to extend his winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Burns has struggled with recent losses, while Morales has shown impressive performances, including a knockout win over Neil Magny. Burns' grappling skills are a significant advantage, but Morales' reach and recent momentum could be challenging for him.
  • This is their first meeting, with Burns having more experience but Morales being younger and more aggressive.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The event takes place in a neutral venue, but Burns' experience might give him an edge in handling pressure.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Burns seeking to break his losing streak and Morales aiming to solidify his position in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gilbert Burns: 575, Michael Morales: -850 Michael Morales ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Gilbert Burns +5.5: 250, Michael Morales -5.5: -370 Michael Morales ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: 100, Under 3.5: -130 Under 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Morales -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Morales is favored to win due to his recent performances and youth, but Gilbert Burns' experience could make it a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: Morales by Decision


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Rodolfo Bellato vs. Paul Craig Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 17, 2025
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas

Game Overview

Rodolfo Bellato is favored to win against Paul Craig in their upcoming light heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night. Bellato is looking to capitalize on Craig's 'big name' to elevate his career. Craig, known for his submissions, will face Bellato, who boasts a strong record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodolfo Bellato has a strong record of 12-2-0, while Paul Craig stands at 17-9-1. Bellato is likely to use his orthodox stance and significant reach disadvantage to his advantage through strategic fighting.
  • This is their first matchup, making it difficult to predict based on past performances against each other.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight is taking place in Las Vegas, which could affect fighters differently based on their experience in such environments.
  • Bellato is highly motivated to win and boost his career, using Craig's name to gain more recognition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -535 (Bellato), 400 (Craig) Bellato to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -3.5 (-370) for Bellato, +3.5 (250) for Craig Bellato to win by more than 3.5 rounds not likely, as MMA fights are often decided early or go to decision. ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under 1.5 rounds (Over 100, Under -130) Under 1.5 rounds, as both fighters are capable of ending the fight early. ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodolfo Bellato 275%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rodolfo Bellato at 275% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 68.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodolfo Bellato is predicted to win this fight based on his strong record and motivation to capitalize on Craig's name.

Predicted Score: Bellato to win by submission or TKO.


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Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sodiq Yusuff vs Mairon Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 18, 2025
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Sodiq Yusuff, a featherweight, is moving up to lightweight on short notice to face Mairon Santos at UFC Vegas 106. Yusuff is returning after over a year following consecutive losses, while Santos is coming off a win and is a winner of The Ultimate Fighter 32.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sodiq Yusuff has a 13-4 record but has not fought since April 2024, losing his last two fights. Mairon Santos has a 15-1 record and is coming off a win at UFC 313.
  • This is the first fight between Sodiq Yusuff and Mairon Santos.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter.
  • Yusuff's weight class change might affect his performance. Santos's recent win could boost his confidence.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Yusuff looking to end his losing streak and Santos seeking to continue his winning form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mairon Santos: -135, Sodiq Yusuff: 114 Mairon Santos to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Mairon Santos: -3.5 140, Sodiq Yusuff: 3.5 -190 Take Mairon Santos -3.5 for a risky bet ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -220, Under: 2.5 170 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mairon Santos -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -98%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent performances, Mairon Santos is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Mairon Santos by TKO in Round 1


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Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Nursultan Ruziboev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Dustin Stoltzfus vs Nursultan Ruziboev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Dustin Stoltzfus and Nursultan Ruziboev are set to face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Vegas 106. Stoltzfus holds a 16-6-0 record, while Ruziboev boasts a 35-9-2 record (2 NC). The odds favor Ruziboev heavily, with a moneyline of -298 compared to Stoltzfus's +240.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stoltzfus lands 3.47 significant strikes per minute with a 44% accuracy rate, while Ruziboev lands 2.75 significant strikes per minute with the same accuracy rate. Ruziboev has a slight edge in defense, absorbing 3.78 strikes per minute while defending 50% of shots, compared to Stoltzfus's 3.29 strikes absorbed with a 46% defense rate.
  • There is no head-to-head data available for this matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The bout is at neutral ground, UFC Apex, which may not provide a significant advantage to either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated by the prospect of winning, but Ruziboev's recent form and experience may give him an edge in terms of confidence and strategy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stoltzfus: +240, Ruziboev: -298 Nursultan Ruziboev High
Spread Stoltzfus: 3.5 (+175), Ruziboev: -3.5 (-240) Take Ruziboev -3.5, but with moderate confidence due to the spread. Moderate
Over/under over: 1.5 (-105), under: 1.5 (-125) Over 1.5 rounds High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nursultan Ruziboev -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nursultan Ruziboev is favored to win due to his experience and recent form.

Predicted Score: Nursultan Ruziboev win by decision


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Julian Erosa vs. Melquizael Costa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Julian Erosa vs Melquizael Costa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 11:45 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV, USA

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC Vegas 106 fight between Julian Erosa and Melquizael Costa is a featherweight bout featuring two southpaw fighters with contrasting styles. Erosa, a 35-year-old veteran finisher known for his volume striking and aggression, faces the younger and durable Melquizael Costa, who emphasizes defense and counter-striking. Both fighters enter with a motivation for a four-fight win streak, making this contest highly competitive and significant for their career trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Julian Erosa brings a record of 31-12-0 with a high volume of significant strikes at 6.40 per minute and a 49% strike accuracy, but he absorbs a high rate at 6.21 strikes per minute. Melquizael Costa holds a 23-7-0 record with lower strike output at 3.86 per minute but better defense, absorbing just 2.72 strikes per minute and defending 52% of strikes. Both fighters have similar striking accuracy around 49%.
  • There is no recorded previous bout between Julian Erosa and Melquizael Costa, marking this fight as their first direct encounter.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter have been indicated close to the fight date, suggesting both are expected to enter at full health.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for both fighters, reducing travel and acclimatization concerns. No significant external distractions or controversies have been reported impacting either fighter’s preparedness.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a 4-fight win streak, which would boost their UFC rankings and career momentum. Erosa, the veteran, aims to demonstrate his finishing prowess, while Costa looks to leverage his defensive skills and youth to outlast Erosa.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Julian Erosa: +142, Melquizael Costa: -170 Melquizael Costa ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Julian Erosa: 3.5 -110, Melquizael Costa: -3.5 -120 Melquizael Costa -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 124, Under: 2.5 -160 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melquizael Costa -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the defensive durability and lower absorption rate of strikes by Melquizael Costa combined with his ability to defend strikes effectively, Costa has a statistical edge despite Erosa's higher volume and finishing reputation. Costa’s youth and defense likely make him the favorite, but Erosa’s pressure and experience could yield a competitive fight. The prediction favors Melquizael Costa to win by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Melquizael Costa wins via decision (3-0 rounds)


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Gabriel Green vs. Matheus Camilo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Gabriel Green vs Matheus Camilo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 17, 2025
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This upcoming MMA fight features Gabriel Green, a seasoned fighter with a record of 11-5, against Matheus Camilo, a newcomer to the UFC with a 9-2 record. The bout is part of UFC Fight Night 256, taking place in the welterweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gabriel Green has more UFC experience, which could be an advantage. However, Matheus Camilo is coming in with momentum from his recent performances.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight's location and the presence of home fans might not significantly impact the outcome since both fighters are not from the venue's local area.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Camilo aiming to make a strong UFC debut and Green seeking to improve his UFC record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriel Green: 190, Matheus Camilo: -230 Matheus Camilo ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gabriel Green: 3.5 110, Matheus Camilo: -3.5 -150 Matheus Camilo ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2.5 120, Under: 2.5 -154 Under ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Matheus Camilo -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Matheus Camilo is favored to win due to his recent success and Dana White's recognition through his 'Lookin' For a Fight' contract.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Matheus Camilo.


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