Match Analysis: Rochester Americans vs Syracuse Crunch - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-27
- Time: 7:05 PM UTC
- Location: Rochester Americans Home Venue (specific arena name unavailable in data)
Game Overview
North Division Semifinals matchup following Syracuse's 3-1-1-0 outdoor record against Rochester's 2-1-2-0. Recent Game 1 showed Syracuse's offensive efficiency with multiple scoring sequences in the second period[4][5].
Key Factors to Consider
- Syracuse demonstrated strong second-period execution in Game 1 (April 25), scoring twice within 3.5 minutes including Connor Sherry's highlight-reel goal[5]. Rochester's defensive lapses against wrap-around plays and point shots were evident[4].
- Recent outdoor game history favors Syracuse (3-1-1-0 vs Rochester's 2-1-2-0)[1]. Current series momentum leans toward Syracuse after Game 1 performance[5].
- No specific injury data available in provided results. Levi Gramp's goaltending performance showed vulnerability to low shots and rebounds[4].
- Rochester's home record not explicitly stated, but Game 2 pressure increases after Game 1 loss. Potential fatigue factor for Syracuse on back-to-back dates[2].
- Must-win situation for Rochester to avoid 0-2 series deficit. Syracuse aims to capitalize on offensive momentum from Game 1's multi-goal period[5].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | ROC -120/SYR -110 | Syracuse Crunch ML | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | ROC -1.5 (+225)/SYR +1.5 (-310) | Syracuse +1.5 (cover) | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Over/under | Over 5 (-135)/Under 5 (+105) | Over 5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Syracuse Crunch -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 5 -4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Syracuse moneyline value play (-110) based on superior puck possession patterns and demonstrated ability to exploit Rochester's defensive zone coverage[4][5].
Predicted Score: Syracuse 4-3 (OT)
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