Match Analysis: Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-05
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY
Game Overview
The Buffalo Sabres will face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning in a crucial Atlantic Division matchup. Both teams are looking for a win to improve their playoff positions.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tampa Bay Lightning hold a record of 43-25-5, with a strong offensive averaging 3.5 goals per game. The Buffalo Sabres, at 30-36-6, have struggled this season but have shown improvement at home.
- In their last encounter on March 5, 2025, the Lightning narrowly defeated the Sabres 6-5 in a high-scoring game. Historically, the Lightning have the upper hand in head-to-head matchups.
- Buffalo's Jordan Greenway is expected to miss the game due to a lower body injury, impacting their scoring depth. Tampa Bay is expected to be at full strength.
- The game is being played at KeyBank Center, where the Sabres have a better home record compared to their away performance. Weather conditions are favorable for the game.
- Both teams are vying for playoff spots, making this a highly motivated matchup, particularly for the Lightning who are aiming to solidify their current position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | EV Pick |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tampa Bay -150, Buffalo +130 | Tampa Bay to win | ★★★★☆ 75% | Tampa Bay to win -100% |
Spread | Tampa Bay -1.5 (+160), Buffalo +1.5 (-180) | Tampa Bay to cover the spread | ★★★★☆ 70% | Tampa Bay to cover the spread -100% |
Over_under | Over 6.5 (-110), Under 6.5 (-110) | Over 6.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% | Over 6.5 goals -100% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home -100% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
Predicted Outcome
Tampa Bay is predicted to win, leveraging their stronger season performance and recent head-to-head success.
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Buffalo Sabres 2