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Napoli vs. Empoli Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Napoli vs Empoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-14
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Italy

Game Overview

Napoli vs Empoli is a Serie A match where Napoli, currently in second place with 65 points, faces Empoli, positioned 18th with 24 points. Napoli is favored to win, given their stronger performance in Serie A and their home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Napoli has mixed form in Serie A but has a strong record at home. Empoli has struggled in their last five matches, failing to win any of them.
  • Napoli has won 8 of their past 21 matches against Empoli, with Empoli winning 9 and 4 draws. However, since 2022, Napoli has dominated with 3 wins out of 5 encounters without any draws.
  • Notable absences include Nikita Contini, Leonardo Spinazzola, Scott McTominay, and others for both teams, but specific impact is unclear.
  • Home advantage and recent form favor Napoli.
  • Napoli's motivation is high to secure a Champions League spot, while Empoli fights to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Napoli: -300, Empoli: 825, Draw: 420 Napoli win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Empoli: 1.5 -122, Napoli: -1.5 102 Napoli -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over_under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Napoli 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Napoli is predicted to win this match due to their strong home record and the urgency to secure a high position in Serie A.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Napoli


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Lazio vs. AS Roma Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Lazio vs AS Roma – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 13 April 2025
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

The Lazio vs. AS Roma match is a crucial Derby della Capitale in the Serie A, with both teams vying for a top-four finish. The match is expected to be intense given the historical rivalry between the two clubs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio have been unbeaten in their last nine 'home' matches against Roma, but Roma have had a strong run under Claudio Ranieri, being unbeaten in 15 league matches.
  • Recent head-to-head matches show Roma aiming to continue their form, while Lazio seeks to maintain their unbeaten 'home' streak against Roma.
  • Lazio will be without Patric and Nuno Tavares, while Roma misses Saud Abdulhamid and Paulo Dybala.
  • The intense rivalry and high stakes for European qualification add significant pressure and motivation for both teams.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Lazio looking to continue their home dominance and Roma seeking a league double over Lazio.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazio: 180, AS Roma: 160, Draw: 225 Draw ★★☆☆☆ 42%
Spread AS Roma: 0 -118, Lazio: 0 -102 X2 (Draw or Roma) ★★★★☆ 82%
Over_under Over: 2.25 -118, Under: 2.25 -102 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Roma's recent form and the draw's high probability, the draw seems likely. However, Roma's chances are bolstered by their performance under Claudio Ranieri.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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Como vs. Torino Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Como vs Torino – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Game Overview

This match between Como and Torino promises to be competitive with both teams having differing strengths and weaknesses. Como has shown resilience at home, while Torino is currently unbeaten in six matches, highlighting their defensive solidity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Como is unbeaten in their last three home games, while Torino is enjoying a six-match unbeaten streak, showcasing their form.
  • Recent head-to-head matches indicate that Torino generally has an edge, winning the last encounter 1-0. However, Como has historically performed well at home against Torino.
  • Como misses Alberto Dossena, while Torino is without several key players, including Duván Zapata, Alieu Njie, and Perr Schuurs.
  • Torino's absence of key players could impact their attacking potency. However, their defensive record remains strong.
  • Both teams have something to prove, with Torino seeking to maintain their unbeaten streak and Como looking to enhance their home record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Como: -110, Torino: 310, Draw: 255 Draw or slight Torino edge due to better form ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Como: -0.5 -108, Torino: 50 -112 Torino +0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Torino 64%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Torino at 64% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Torino might struggle with the missing players, but their defensive resilience and recent form could secure a draw or a narrow win. Como's home advantage will play a crucial role.

Predicted Score: Como 1, Torino 1


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Hellas Verona vs. Genoa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Genoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona, Italy

Game Overview

Hellas Verona and Genoa face each other in a Serie A match on April 13, 2025. Genoa is slightly favored in the match due to their better league standing, but Hellas Verona has a strong record at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Genoa has collected 38 points with a goal difference of -9, while Hellas Verona has 31 points with a goal difference of -29. Genoa's defensive performance has been better with 32.3% clean sheets compared to Verona's 22.6%.
  • Historically, in the last 30 meetings, Genoa won 11 times, Verona won 7 times, and there were 12 draws. Genoa has a slightly better head-to-head record but Verona is improving.
  • Specific injury reports for both teams are not detailed here, but any significant absences could impact the match.
  • Home advantage might favor Hellas Verona, though Genoa's recent form suggests they are competent away from home.
  • Both teams have strong motivations to win, as points are crucial in their respective battles in Serie A.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Genoa -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the current odds and team performances, Genoa is slightly favored due to better league standing and defensive performance.

Predicted Score: Genoa 1, Hellas Verona 0


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Fiorentina vs. Parma Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Parma – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy

Game Overview

Fiorentina, positioned 8th in Serie A, faces 16th placed Parma in a crucial match for their European aspirations. Fiorentina has shown solid offensive capabilities, while Parma struggles to secure wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fiorentina has a strong home record with 15 wins this season and averages 1.98 goals per match. Conversely, Parma has only 5 wins and averages just 1.26 goals per match, struggling significantly in away fixtures.
  • In their last 25 encounters, Fiorentina has won 12, drawn 8, and lost 5 when playing at home. Historically, the teams score an average of 2.58 goals per match against each other.
  • Fiorentina's key players are healthy, while Parma has several absences, including Yordan Osorio and Matteo Cancellieri, which may impact their performance.
  • The match takes place at Fiorentina's home ground, providing them with a home advantage, particularly considering their playoff push.
  • Fiorentina is motivated to secure a European qualification spot, while Parma is fighting against relegation. This adds intensity to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fiorentina 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fiorentina is expected to secure a win, potentially with multiple goals scored.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Atalanta BC vs. Bologna Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 13, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo, Italy

Game Overview

Atalanta BC and Bologna face off in a crucial Serie A match. Atalanta, favored at home, looks to continue its strong performance, while Bologna seeks an upset to enhance its standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta has shown recent inconsistency with wins against Empoli and Juventus, but a loss to Fiorentina and Lazio. Bologna has been on a strong run with recent victories over Cagliari, Verona, Lazio, and Venezia.
  • Recent head-to-heads favor Bologna, with wins in their last three matches against Atalanta.
  • Atalanta has several key players sidelined, including Stefan Posch, Odilon Kossounou, Giorgio Scalvini, and Gianluca Scamacca. Bologna's injury list includes Davide Calabria.
  • Atalanta's home advantage could play a role, but Bologna's recent form and past victories against Atalanta are significant factors.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to gain points for different reasons—Atalanta to secure a top-four spot and Bologna to strengthen its position within the top six.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atalanta BC: -105, Bologna: 285, Draw: 260 Atalanta BC to win or draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Atalanta BC: -0.5 -102, Bologna: 50 -118 Atalanta BC to cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Atalanta's strong home record historically but Bologna's recent form and head-to-head success, the match could be closely contested. However, injuries and Bologna's recent momentum may tip the scales slightly in their favor.

Predicted Score: Atalanta BC 2, Bologna 1


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Juventus vs. Lecce Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Juventus vs Lecce – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-12
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Turin, Italy

Game Overview

Juventus is set to host Lecce in a Serie A match, with Juventus being the clear favorites due to their strong historical performance against Lecce and their higher standing in the league. Lecce's recent form has been inconsistent, which may further hinder their chances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventus has a mixed recent form, having lost to Fiorentina but then winning against Genoa. Lecce has struggled with several consecutive away defeats.
  • The head-to-head record favors Juventus significantly, with them winning 20 out of the last 31 encounters and Lecce last winning away in 2004.
  • Juventus has several key players injured, including Bremer, Federico Gatti, Arek Milik, and Juan Cabal. Lecce is missing Filip Marchwiński.
  • The high pressure from the home crowd and Juventus's historical dominance at home could influence the outcome.
  • Juventus is motivated to maintain their position in the league and potentially climb higher, while Lecce fights to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Juventus -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Juventus is likely to win the game, potentially with a low-scoring margin.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Juventus


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Inter Milan vs. Cagliari Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Cagliari – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 12, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy

Game Overview

Inter Milan faces Cagliari in Serie A with Inter being the clear favorites. Inter Milan ranks 1st in the league and is well above Cagliari, which sits 15th. Inter has a strong team form, while Cagliari struggles with consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Inter Milan has been performing exceptionally well, winning seven out of their last ten matches. In contrast, Cagliari has won only two games in the same period. Inter Milan leads in most statistical categories, including shots and completed passes.
  • The previous match between them ended in a 3-0 victory for Inter Milan on December 28, 2024.
  • Inter Milan has players like Matteo Taremi and Piotr Zieliński sidelined. Cagliari has Cristian Soldati out.
  • Inter Milan is preparing significant rotations due to an upcoming Champions League match against Bayern Munich, which might affect team dynamics.
  • Inter Milan is highly motivated to maintain their league position, while Cagliari fights to escape the relegation zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -305 (Inter), 775 (Cagliari), 440 (Draw) Inter Milan to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -1.5 (-102) for Inter Milan Inter Milan -1.5 ★★☆☆☆ 49%
Over_under 2.75 (-110/-110) Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 69%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline N/A
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Inter Milan is expected to win but considering rotations, the game might be more balanced than expected.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Inter Milan


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Venezia vs. Monza Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Venezia vs Monza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-12
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice, Italy

Game Overview

This Serie A match between Venezia and Monza features two teams struggling at the bottom of the league table. Venezia ranks 19th, while Monza is in 20th place. Venezia has been favored due to their slightly better form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are currently in poor form. Venezia has a slight edge with more wins and draws, but Monza has shown some resilience in close matches.
  • Historically, Venezia has a slight edge over Monza, especially at home. In their last eight home meetings, Venezia won four and drew two against Monza.
  • Monza and Venezia both have injuries to key players like Matteo Pessina for Venezia and Alfred Duncan for Venezia.
  • Home field advantage could significantly boost Venezia’s chances. Monza has struggled in away games.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure points and move up the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Monza: +390, Venezia: -135, Draw: +275 Venezia Win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Monza: +75 -115, Venezia: -0.75 -105 Venezia Cover ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: +100 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Venezia -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Venezia is likely to win due to their home advantage and slightly better form compared to Monza.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Venezia


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Udinese vs. AC Milan Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Udinese vs AC Milan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-11
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Bluenergy Stadium, Udine

Game Overview

Udinese, currently ranked 10th, hosts AC Milan, ranked 9th in Serie A. AC Milan is favored to win based on recent odds and form. The match is expected to be competitive, with AC Milan having a slight edge due to their historical performance against Udinese.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Udinese has shown recent improvement with a form of WWDLL, while AC Milan's form is LLWWL. AC Milan tends to dominate possession but has struggled with consistency.
  • Historically, AC Milan has had the upper hand in matches against Udinese. The most common result when Udinese hosts is a 2-1 win for AC Milan.
  • Udinese is missing key players like Razvan Sava and Souleymane Toure, while AC Milan's R. Loftus-Cheek is sidelined.
  • The match will be played in Udine, which could give Udinese an advantage due to home support.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standings in Serie A.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AC Milan: -105, Udinese: 275, Draw: 265 AC Milan to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread AC Milan: -0.5 -102, Udinese: 50 -118 AC Milan to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AC Milan -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AC Milan is expected to win this match, given their historical performance and current form.

Predicted Score: 1-0 or 2-1 in favor of AC Milan


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