Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 19, 2025
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: PayPal Park, San Jose, California
Game Overview
This MLS match features San Jose Earthquakes hosting Sporting Kansas City. San Jose holds a slight edge in the long-term head-to-head statistics and recent form, having more wins in their previous encounters and a better current season performance. San Jose currently ranks better in the league, with Sporting Kansas City struggling to secure wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Jose Earthquakes are performing better in the 2025 season with 10 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses). Sporting Kansas City has struggled, managing only 4 points from 7 matches (1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses).
- Recent head-to-head matches show mixed results, with San Jose winning the most recent meeting 2-1 on March 1, 2025.
- No significant injury updates are available for both teams at this time.
- Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for play in San Jose, which could enhance the home team's advantage.
- San Jose Earthquakes are more motivated to secure a win to improve their standings, while Sporting Kansas City seeks to bounce back from their recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -105 for San Jose, 255 for Sporting Kansas City, 290 for Draw | San Jose Earthquakes | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | -0.5 -102 for San Jose, 50 -118 for Sporting Kansas City | San Jose Earthquakes | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 3 goals at 100, Under 3 goals at -120 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Jose Earthquakes 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose Earthquakes are likely to win due to their home advantage and better current form.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of San Jose Earthquakes