Match Analysis: Everton vs Manchester City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-19
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Goodison Park
Game Overview
Manchester City travels to Goodison Park to face off against Everton in a Premier League match. This is a crucial fixture for both teams as it impacts their season standings. Manchester City's performance has been inconsistent lately, while Everton is seeking crucial points to avoid relegation stress. Recent results show City has dominated past encounters, but both teams have shown resilience, especially in their previous draw on December 26th, 2024.
Key Factors to Consider
- Manchester City boasts strong statistics in shots, goals, and passing, while Everton relies on resilience and home advantage. City's squad depth and talent will be tested against Everton's defensive solidity.
- In recent head-to-heads, City has generally had the upper hand but encountered stiff competition from Everton. Their last match ended 1-1.
- Notable injuries for Manchester City include Erling Haaland, Rodri, John Stones, Nicolás Otamendi is not listed but previous reports included him, and Ederson being sidelined. Everton also faces injuries with Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Jens Petter Hauge is not listed but previous reports mentioned him, and Omar Mangala out.
- Weather and crowd support could influence the match, as Everton seeks to utilize home advantage.
- Manchester City needs to secure Champions League spots, while Everton aims to enhance its league standing and avoid relegation battles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Everton: 270, Manchester City: -108, Draw: 255 | Manchester City to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Everton +50 -119, Manchester City -0.5 -111 | Manchester City to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -128, Under 2.5 -104 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Manchester City 25% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Manchester City at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Manchester City holds a slight edge due to squad depth and talent but may face a tough challenge as Everton often performs well against top-tier teams at home.
Predicted Score: Everton 1, Manchester City 2