Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Stoke City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-21
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Elland Road, Leeds, England
Game Overview
This English Football League Championship match pits Leeds United against Stoke City. Leeds United is currently ranked 1st, while Stoke City holds the 18th position. Given Leeds United's strong form and home advantage, they are favored to win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leeds United has shown strong form this season, currently standing at the top of the Championship table. Stoke City, on the other hand, has been struggling in the league.
- In recent matches, Leeds United has generally had the upper hand against Stoke City. Historically, Leeds United has won 7 out of 14 encounters since 2004.
- Injury reports are not detailed in the provided data, but this could be a significant factor if key players are missing.
- Home advantage can significantly influence the outcome, favoring Leeds United. Weather conditions or the crowd's impact could also affect the match dynamics.
- Leeds United will be highly motivated to maintain their lead in the Championship, while Stoke City will try to break their poor form and move up the table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -385 for Leeds, 1000 for Stoke, 440 for Draw | Leeds United win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | -1.5 for Leeds at -125, 1.5 for Stoke at 105 | Leeds United to cover -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 at -112, Under 2.75 at -108 | Under 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Leeds United 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leeds United is likely to win based on their recent form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Leeds United 2, Stoke City 0