Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 8:10 PM UTC
- Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Game Overview
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers are set to face off at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks narrowly won the previous game 3-0, with Corbin Burnes delivering a strong pitching performance of 7 innings, 5 hits allowed, no earned runs, and 5 strikeouts. Dodgers' starter Dustin May pitched 6.2 innings giving up 2 earned runs. Both teams show solid pitching, but Arizona currently has the momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona Diamondbacks have demonstrated strong pitching with Burnes leading the last game to a shutout. Offensively, Eugenio Suárez contributed a home run and RBI. The Dodgers struggled to score and managed just 5 hits against the Diamondbacks' pitching staff. The Dodgers will need better offensive production to challenge the Diamondbacks.
- Recent head-to-head shows a close contest, with the Diamondbacks taking the last game 3-0. The teams are fairly evenly matched, but Arizona's pitching edge in the last matchup could influence this game as well.
- No explicit injury reports found in the provided data for either team prior to the game.
- The game is at Chase Field, a neutral home stadium for Arizona with typical weather conditions reported without extremes, which should not heavily influence gameplay.
- Diamondbacks will aim to maintain their winning streak against the Dodgers and capitalize on recent pitching success. The Dodgers, coming off a shutout loss, will be motivated to recover and avoid consecutive losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks: -107, Los Angeles Dodgers: -103 | Arizona Diamondbacks to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5: 177, Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5: -205 | Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 (cover the spread) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 9.5: 100, Under 9.5: -120 | Under 9.5 runs | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Diamondbacks are favored to win due to superior pitching performance and recent success against the Dodgers, with expected low scoring from both sides.
Predicted Score: Diamondbacks 4, Dodgers 2