Match Analysis: Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 10, 2025
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Fiserv Forum
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Bucks host the New Orleans Pelicans as significant favorites due to their strong form and the Pelicans' extensive injury list and poor recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Bucks have been on a five-game winning streak, while the Pelicans have lost 14 of their last 18 games. The Bucks average 114.8 points per game and allow 112.7, whereas the Pelicans average 110 points and allow 118.7.
- The Bucks have won seven of the last ten head-to-head matchups, including a recent 111-107 victory over the Pelicans.
- The Bucks are without Jericho Sims and Damian Lillard, with Pat Connaughton questionable. The Pelicans are missing several key players, including Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Dejounte Murray, Jordan Hawkins, and Brandon Boston.
- The Bucks are motivated to secure a better playoff seeding, while the Pelicans are focused on the NBA Draft Lottery.
- The Bucks' need to secure a higher seed in the East and their recent success give them strong motivation. The Pelicans have little to play for, increasing the likelihood of an uneven contest.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Bucks -1100, New Orleans Pelicans +700 | Milwaukee Bucks | Not available |
Spread | Milwaukee Bucks -15.5 -110, New Orleans Pelicans +15.5 -110 | Milwaukee Bucks -15.5 | Not available |
Over_under | Over 222.5 -110, Under 222.5 -110 | Over 222.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Bucks 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 222.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 222.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the significant disparity in team depth and motivation, the Bucks are likely to win comfortably.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Bucks 125, New Orleans Pelicans 100