Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-13
- Time: 6:15 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium
Game Overview
Philadelphia Phillies (9-5) face the St. Louis Cardinals (6-8) in a decisive game at Busch Stadium. The series is tied, and Philadelphia seeks to continue its success at the venue, where they have not lost a series since June 2017.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Phillies have a strong record overall, while the Cardinals have struggled at home and away. Philadelphia's hitters have a collective .339 on-base percentage.
- In their last game, the Phillies turned five double plays to secure a 4-1 win. The series is tied, with each team looking to grasp momentum.
- The Cardinals have Masyn Winn and Ivan Herrera on the injured list, while the Phillies have Weston Wilson and Ranger Suarez injured.
- Philadelphia's Zack Wheeler faces off against St. Louis's Matthew Liberatore. Wheeler's experience could be a deciding factor.
- Both teams are motivated to win, but the Cardinals need a home win to boost their morale and standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -179, St. Louis Cardinals +161 | Philadelphia Phillies | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | -1.5 (-110) for PHI, +1.5 (-110) for STL | Philadelphia Phillies | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over_under | Over 8 (-105), Under 8 (-115) | Under 8 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Philadelphia Phillies are likely to win based on their strong team performance and favorable odds.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5, St. Louis Cardinals 3