Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-25
- Time: 12:15 AM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium
Game Overview
The Cardinals (10-15, 8-4 home) host the Brewers (13-13, 4-9 away) in a divisional matchup. St. Louis aims to leverage home-field advantage, while Milwaukee seeks consistency behind a strong pitching matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brewers are .500 with road struggles; Cardinals have a losing record but strong home performance. Brewers' Chad Patrick (1-1, 2.11 ERA) outperforms Cardinals' Matthew Liberatore (1-2, 3.60 ERA) statistically[3][5].
- No recent head-to-head data provided, but divisional rivalry adds intensity.
- No specific injuries mentioned in available data, though Cardinals bullpen described as problematic recently[5].
- Battlehawks Night promotion may boost Cardinals crowd energy[3]. Friday Night Live features $5 beers/dogs, potentially increasing attendance[3].
- Both teams aim to climb NL Central standings; Cardinals particularly motivated to capitalize on home series.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | STL -130 / MIL +110 | Brewers ML | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | MIL +1.5 (-194) / STL -1.5 (+160) | Brewers +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Over/under | O8 -110 / U8 -110 | Under 8 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brewers' pitching advantage and Cardinals' bullpen vulnerabilities create value for Milwaukee despite road record[5].
Predicted Score: Brewers 4-3