Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-25
- Time: 1:40 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Game Overview
The Seattle Mariners (14-11, 1st in AL West) host the Miami Marlins (11-13, 3rd in NL East) as Seattle aims to extend their 4-game home winning streak. The Mariners' strong offense (.329 OBP, 2nd in AL) faces Miami's middling pitching (Quantrill: 8.31 ERA), while Logan Gilbert (2.63 ERA, 41 Ks) leads Seattle's rotation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle's lineup thrives at home (8-5 record), supported by Cal Raleigh (9 HR) and Rowdy Tellez (10 RBI in last 10 games). Miami's Quantrill (8.31 ERA, 2.08 WHIP) has struggled significantly this season.
- First 2025 meeting. Gilbert is 2-0 with 0.66 ERA historically against Miami, while Quantrill has a 4.34 ERA vs Seattle.
- No injury specifics provided, but Quantrill's form is a critical liability.
- Seattle's home advantage (4-game streak at T-Mobile Park) and late-night start for East Coast-based Marlins could impact performance.
- Mariners aim to solidify AL West lead; Marlins seek to climb NL East standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | MIA +231 / SEA -260 | SEA wins | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | MIA +1.5 (+111) / SEA -1.5 (-131) | SEA -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 (-110) / Under 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners 138% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Seattle Mariners at 138% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 59.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mariners dominate via Gilbert's pitching and home-field advantage. Expect a 4-1 victory covering the spread and staying under 7.5 runs.
Predicted Score: SEA 4 – MIA 1