Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Wichita St Shockers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-17
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: FAU Baseball Stadium, Boca Raton, FL
Game Overview
The Florida Atlantic Owls host the Wichita State Shockers in an American Athletic Conference matchup. Florida Atlantic enters with a 24-12 overall record and a 6-6 conference record, having recently lost three consecutive close games by one run. Wichita State struggles with a 12-24 overall record and 4-8 in AAC, currently on a four-game losing streak. The Owls boast a strong pitching staff and a hot hitter in INF Brando Leroux, while Wichita State faces pitching challenges with a high team ERA and relies on standout bats like Camden Johnson and Josh Livingston.
Key Factors to Consider
- Florida Atlantic has shown recent inconsistency after a five-game winning streak, losing three straight tightly contested games. Their pitching staff features LHP Trey Beard (6-0, 2.92 ERA) and consistent starters, which contrasts with Wichita State's struggling pitching (team ERA around 6.66) allowing a .281 batting average to opponents. Offensively, FAU's Brando Leroux is performing at an elite level in conference play, whereas Wichita State's offense is moderate but lacks power, ranking last in home runs but leading in triples.
- The data does not specify recent head-to-head statistics, but the current season context and records strongly favor Florida Atlantic as they are higher in the AAC standings and performing better overall.
- No specific injuries reported for either team ahead of this matchup.
- The game is played at Florida Atlantic's home stadium, providing a home field advantage. The teams are competing for better standings positions in the AAC, with Florida Atlantic aiming to climb from the middle and Wichita State attempting to avoid the bottom.
- Florida Atlantic seeks to halt their close game losing streak and improve AAC standing, while Wichita State wants to end their four-game skid and secure a spot in the upcoming conference tournament.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls: -315, Wichita St Shockers: 230 | Florida Atlantic Owls | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Florida Atlantic Owls: -1.5, Wichita St Shockers: +1.5 | Florida Atlantic Owls -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | over: O 8.5, under: U 8.5 | Over 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Florida Atlantic Owls 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Florida Atlantic Owls at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida Atlantic Owls are favored to win due to superior pitching performance, home advantage, and a more consistent offensive threat. Wichita State’s pitching woes and losing streak reduce their chances significantly.
Predicted Score: Florida Atlantic Owls 6 – Wichita St Shockers 3