Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-10
- Time: 11:15 PM UTC
- Location: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
Game Overview
This is the third game of a series between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies. The series is currently tied 1-1. The Braves are looking to bounce back from a tough loss in the previous game, while the Phillies aim to secure a series win.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Braves have struggled this season with a 2-9 record, while the Phillies stand at 8-3. The Braves won the first game 7-5, but the Phillies took the second game 4-3.
- The teams are closely matched in head-to-head competitions, with the recent series indicating a tight rivalry.
- Sean Murphy recently returned from injury for the Braves, which could be a significant boost. No major injury updates are noted for the Phillies.
- Home-field advantage might favor the Braves, but recent performances suggest a competitive edge for the Phillies.
- Both teams have strong motivations to win, especially considering the series is tied.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atlanta Braves: -130, Philadelphia Phillies: 110 | Philadelphia Phillies | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Atlanta Braves: -1.5 152, Philadelphia Phillies: 1.5 -184 | Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over_under | Over 7.5: -112, Under 7.5: -108 | Under 7.5 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Phillies are likely to win or keep the game close, given their recent performance and the Braves' struggles.
Predicted Score: Phillies 4, Braves 3