Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-24
- Time: 1:40 AM UTC
- Location: Chase Field
Game Overview
The Arizona Diamondbacks (13-9) host the Tampa Bay Rays (9-13) in an interleague matchup. Arizona has been strong at home (7-5), while Tampa Bay struggles on the road (0-3 away). Arizona is on a 1-game win streak, while Tampa Bay aims to snap a road skid.
Key Factors to Consider
- ARI's superior home record (7-5) and current form (7-3 in L10) contrast with TB's road struggles and 4-6 L10 performance.
- Recent game on April 22, 2025: ARI defeated TB 5-1[3].
- No injury data provided in available sources.
- Standard game conditions expected at Chase Field.
- ARI seeks to maintain playoff contention momentum; TB needs to reverse road woes.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | ARI -134 / TB +114 | ARI moneyline | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | ARI -1.5 (+150) / TB +1.5 (-182) | ARI -1.5 | 52% (riskier due to TB's potential for tight games) |
Over/under | Over 9 (-102) / Under 9 (-120) | Under 9 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks 35% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
ARI holds pitching and home-field advantages. Eduardo Rodriguez (1-2, 4.09 ERA) outperforms Taj Bradley (2-1, 5.24) statistically, with better K/BB ratio (29/6 vs 24/10).
Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5-3 Tampa Bay Rays