Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Estoril – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 28, 2025
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal
Game Overview
Casa Pia, currently in 8th place, is set to face Estoril, in 9th place, in a crucial Portuguese Primeira Liga match. The teams have a close standing in the league with Casa Pia holding 41 points and Estoril with 39.
Key Factors to Consider
- Casa Pia AC has shown strong home performances, being unbeaten in 11 of their last 13 home matches. However, they have had recent losses in their last six matches. Estoril has a 50% loss rate in their last six matches.
- Historically, Estoril has dominated with five wins against Casa Pia's one win and three draws. Recent encounters suggest a tendency towards draws.
- No recent injury reports available.
- Both teams are expected to be motivated to improve their league positions.
- High motivation for both teams due to their close standings in the league.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Casa Pia: +105, Estoril: +275, Draw: +215 | Draw or slight edge to Casa Pia due to home advantage | 60% for draw, 65% for Casa Pia |
Spread | Casa Pia: -0.5 +108, Estoril: 50 -128 | Casa Pia to cover spread | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw -18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the historical dominance of Estoril and recent form, a draw seems plausible, but Casa Pia's home performance could slightly favor them.
Predicted Score: 1-1 or 2-1 in favor of Casa Pia