Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Bristol City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-28
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Elland Road, Leeds, England
Game Overview
Leeds United host Bristol City in their final home match of the Sky Bet Championship, having secured promotion to the Premier League. Bristol City, seeking a place in the playoffs, look to maintain their form against top-seeded teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leeds United have shown strong form recently, winning 6-0 against Stoke City, while Bristol City lost their last match to Luton Town.
- The previous meeting between the two teams ended in a 0-0 draw on October 26, 2024, and another recent match saw Leeds win 1-0 on February 2, 2024.
- No specific injury information is available for this match.
- Promotion pressure is off for Leeds, but they are still competing for the Championship title. Bristol City’s motivation is high as they aim to secure a playoff spot.
- Leeds United are motivated to win the Championship title, while Bristol City needs points for playoff positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -164 (Leeds), 395 (Bristol City), 290 (Draw) | Leeds United to win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | -1 (Leeds) 100, +1 (Bristol City) -120 | Leeds United to cover -1 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | 2.5 (-117 Over, -103 Under) | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Leeds United -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leeds United are likely to win due to their strong recent form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Leeds United 2, Bristol City 1