Match Analysis: Udinese vs Bologna - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-28
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Game Overview
Udinese will host Bologna in a Serie A match at Bluenergy Stadium. Udinese enters this match on a poor run, having lost 5 of their last 6 league games, reflecting a fragile form. Bologna, conversely, shows better recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 competitive matches. Historically, their encounters often end in draws, with 50% of the last 6 matches between these teams finishing level. Both teams have demonstrated defensive resilience and a tendency for low-scoring games in recent Serie A fixtures.
Key Factors to Consider
- Udinese struggles significantly with five losses in six matches, indicating defensive and attacking issues. Bologna appears more stable and confident recently, achieving four wins in six. Both teams tend toward low scoring, with many recent matches finishing under 2.5 goals.
- In the last six head-to-head meetings, 50% ended as draws, showing a balanced competitiveness between Udinese and Bologna. Past encounters have mostly been tight contests with limited goal scoring.
- No specific injury updates available from the current data, but Udinese’s recent poor form could indicate possible squad issues. Bologna is presumably closer to full strength given their better results.
- The match is played at Udinese’s home ground, which could provide some advantage. The referee for the match is F. Maresca, with no reported external disruptions or weather conditions impacting the game significantly.
- Udinese will be motivated to break their losing streak and regain confidence, especially playing at home. Bologna aims to continue their positive run to solidify their mid-table standing and possibly push for higher positions.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna: -115, Udinese: 340, Draw: 250 | Bologna to win | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
| Spread | Bologna: -0.5 at -115, Udinese: +50 at -105 | Bologna -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 28% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is expected to be closely contested, with defensive solidity from both sides likely to limit scoring opportunities. Given Udinese’s poor form and Bologna’s recent better results, Bologna is favored to at least avoid defeat. The prediction leans towards a Bologna victory or a draw, with low total goals scored.
Predicted Score: Udinese 0 - 1 Bologna
This Pick Releases in 406 Minutes!
Unlock NOW by Sharing This Post!
