Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-26
- Time: 10:11 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park (assumed, location not specified in data)
Game Overview
Evenly matched contest with near-identical moneyline odds (-108/-108). Recent 2024 trends slightly favor Baltimore (8-5 H2H in last 3 seasons) but Tigers hold historical edge (1073-976 all-time). Last 5 meetings suggest competitive games with Tigers winning 3 of 5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Recent matchups (Sept 2024) show parity: Tigers won 6-4 and 4-2, Orioles won 7-1. Past 5 games: Tigers 3-2, Orioles 3-2 in their respective schedules[2][5].
- All-time: Tigers 1073-976 (52.4%). Recent 3-year H2H: Orioles 8-5[5]. Last 5 meetings: Tigers 3-2, Orioles 3-2 when comparing each team's last 5 games[2].
- No injury data available in provided sources.
- Venue-specific conditions not provided. Historical scoring: 4.8-5.1 PPG range in H2H matchups[2].
- Early-season matchup with both teams likely seeking momentum. Tigers seeking to extend historical dominance, Orioles aiming to improve recent H2H record.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | BAL -108 / DET -108 | Baltimore Orioles | ★★★☆☆ 51% |
Spread | BAL -1.5 (+150) / DET +1.5 (-182) | Tigers +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | O8.5 (-115) / U8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Baltimore Orioles -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Coin-flip game with slight edge to Orioles based on 2024 performance, but Tigers' home advantage and historical pedigree create value at even odds.
Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 4-3 Detroit Tigers