Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Corinthians – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-27
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
Flamengo (2nd place, 11 points) hosts Corinthians (6th place, 7 points) in a Brasileirão clash. Flamengo remains unbeaten in five matches (3W-2D), while Corinthians show inconsistencies with 2W-1D-2L record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flamengo boasts league-best defensive stats (2 goals conceded in 5 matches) and +9 goal difference. Corinthians have conceded 6 goals with even goal difference.
- Flamengo dominates H2H with 24 wins in 53 matches (Corinthians: 16 wins). At home, Flamengo has 17W-6D-4L record against Corinthians[5].
- No injury data available in provided sources.
- Historic rivalry increases pressure. Maracanã's home advantage favors Flamengo.
- Flamengo aims to close 2-point gap with Palmeiras. Corinthians seek top-4 positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo -210 | Draw 340 | Corinthians 600 | Flamengo ML | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Flamengo -1 (-125) | Corinthians +1 (105) | Corinthians +1 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (102) | Under 2.5 (-122) | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo -4% |
Spread | Corinthians 1 13% |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians 1 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo win with moderate risk (1-0 or 2-1 scoreline likely). Limited goal expectation given Flamengo's defensive solidity.
Predicted Score: 2-0 Flamengo