Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Lecce – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-27
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo, Italy
Game Overview
Atalanta BC, currently third in Serie A, host US Lecce, who are struggling to avoid relegation in 17th place. Atalanta seeks to maintain their position in the top four with a strong performance against Lecce, who have struggled away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atalanta has been in good form, securing crucial wins recently, including a victory over AC Milan. Lecce, on the other hand, has struggled on the road with four losses in their last six away matches.
- Atalanta has dominated Lecce in recent encounters, winning four of their last six meetings, including a 4-0 victory earlier this season.
- There is no specific mention of significant injuries impacting this match.
- Atalanta's inconsistent home record might pose a challenge, but their overall form gives them an edge.
- Atalanta is highly motivated to secure a UEFA Champions League spot, while Lecce fights to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atalanta BC: -400, Lecce: 1000, Draw: 525 | Atalanta BC to win | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Spread | Atalanta BC: -1.75 -108, Lecce: 1.75 -112 | Atalanta BC to cover | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over: 3 -108, Under: 3 -112 | Under 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Atalanta BC -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent performance, Atalanta is likely to win this match.
Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Atalanta BC