Match Analysis: Napoli vs Torino – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 27, 2025
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Game Overview
This match pits second-placed Napoli against tenth-placed Torino in Serie A. Napoli is in strong form with 71 points, while Torino has 43 points. The head-to-head statistics favor Napoli, who have won significantly more matches against Torino.
Key Factors to Consider
- Napoli has a 61% win rate this season, while Torino has drawn 50% of their last six matches.
- Napoli have won 18 of their last 31 encounters with Torino, including 17 out of 29 recent matches. Napoli remains unbeaten in their last 12 home games against Torino.
- No significant injury reports available.
- Pressure to maintain form for Napoli, while Torino seeks an upset.
- Napoli's motivation to secure a win is high to maintain their position, whereas Torino aims to cause an upset.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Napoli: -240, Torino: 675, Draw: 360 | Napoli win | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Spread | Napoli: -1.25 -102, Torino: 1.25 -118 | Napoli to cover | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Napoli -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Napoli is likely to win due to their strong form and dominance over Torino in head-to-head matches.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Napoli