Match Analysis: Nantes vs Toulouse – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 27 April 2025
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Game Overview
This Ligue 1 match between Nantes and Toulouse features two teams seeking safety in the league. Nantes has struggled with recent performances but holds an advantage against Toulouse historically. Toulouse is currently on a five-match losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nantes has been disappointing with few wins in recent home matches, while Toulouse's losing streak complicates its chances. Nantes is 14th, and Toulouse is 12th in the league, with Nantes needing four more points for greater security.
- Historically, Nantes is unbeaten in 14 of the last 17 matches against Toulouse in Ligue 1, which gives them a favorable outlook. However, recent form could alter expected outcomes.
- No specific injury reports are available, but current form suggests both teams might be affected by player absences or fatigue.
- Pressure to secure league positions will drive both teams, but Toulouse's recent performance creates uncertainty.
- Both teams are motivated to win for different reasons—Nantes to secure safety and Toulouse to end its losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nantes: 195, Toulouse: 140, Draw: 235 | Nantes | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Nantes: 25 -130, Toulouse: -0.25 110 | Nantes | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nantes 33% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Nantes at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Nantes' historical advantage and Toulouse's current losing streak, Nantes is favored despite its disappointing recent form.
Predicted Score: Nantes 1, Toulouse 0