Match Analysis: Millwall vs Swansea City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-26
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Home ground of Millwall (unspecified from data)
Game Overview
Millwall holds a strong recent record against Swansea, winning 4 of their last 5 encounters. Swansea shows defensive vulnerability in these matchups, conceding 1.2 goals per game in their last 5 H2H meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Millwall has dominated recent H2H clashes (4 wins in 5), while Swansea struggles defensively in these fixtures[2][3]. Both teams average 1.6 goals scored per match in their last 5 games[2].
- Millwall won both 2023-24 meetings (1-0 away, 1-0 home)[1][3]. Historical H2H: Millwall 6 wins, Swansea 9 wins, 5 draws[2].
- No specific injury data available in provided sources.
- No weather/venue impacts mentioned. Swansea TV will stream globally[5].
- Likely high for both as mid-table Championship teams, though exact league positions unavailable in current data.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Millwall 128 | Draw 205 | Swansea 215 | Millwall | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Millwall -0.25 (-110) | Swansea +25 (-110) | Millwall -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2 (-126) | Under 2 (+106) | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Millwall 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Millwall to win via narrow margin given H2H dominance and Swansea's defensive struggles in this matchup.
Predicted Score: 1-0 Millwall