Match Analysis: TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 26 Apr 2025
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: PreZero Arena, Sinsheim, Germany
Game Overview
Hoffenheim (15th) hosts Dortmund (7th) in a Bundesliga clash with contrasting motivations. Dortmund seeks European qualification, while Hoffenheim fights relegation. The teams previously met once this season, though results aren't specified in available data.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hoffenheim has conceded 55 goals (1.83/game) with only 4 clean sheets (13.3%). Dortmund, despite mid-table inconsistencies, holds better defensive organization and attacking pedigree.
- Limited head-to-head data available for 2024/25 season. Historical encounters typically favor Dortmund, but specific recent results aren't specified.
- No injury data available. Check lineups 1-2 hours before kickoff for updates.
- No weather concerns reported. PreZero Arena's synthetic pitch hybrid surface could favor tactical pressing.
- Dortmund shows stronger urgency with European qualification possible. Hoffenheim's desperate survival bid creates high-stakes pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dortmund -135 | Hoffenheim 300 | Draw 330 | Borussia Dortmund win | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
Spread | Dortmund -0.75 (-108) | Hoffenheim +75 (-112) | Dortmund -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 (-102) | Under 3.5 (-118) | Under 3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 -0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dortmund to secure narrow victory despite defensive lapses, leveraging superior technical quality against Hoffenheim's vulnerable backline.
Predicted Score: 1-2 Borussia Dortmund