Match Analysis: C.D. San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Velez Sarsfield – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 23 Apr 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Felix Capriles, Cochabamba, Bolivia
Game Overview
Vélez Sarsfield leads Group H in the Copa Libertadores with 6 points, while San Antonio Bulo Bulo sits 3rd with 3 points. The match is critical for both teams' advancement prospects, with Vélez seeking to solidify their position and San Antonio aiming to close the gap.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vélez Sarsfield has shown superior form in Copa Libertadores, converting 60% of recent games into wins (6/10 matches)[5]. San Antonio has struggled with 3 wins and 6 losses in their last 10 outings[5].
- Limited historical H2H data, but Vélez's stronger continental experience gives them an edge in tournament play[1][5].
- No injury data available in provided sources.
- High altitude (Cochabamba at 2,558m) could favor the home team's conditioning[4], balanced against Vélez's superior technical quality.
- Vélez aims to maintain group leadership, while San Antonio needs a result to keep knockout stage hopes alive[4].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | San Antonio +360 / Vélez -140 / Draw +265 | Vélez Sarsfield | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Vélez -0.75 (-112) | Vélez covers | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-118) / Under 2.5 (-112) | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Velez Sarsfield 167% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Velez Sarsfield at 167% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vélez Sarsfield to edge victory through superior organization and finishing quality, though potential altitude impact could keep it competitive.
Predicted Score: 0-1