Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-23
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain
Game Overview
Athletic Bilbao will host Las Palmas at San Mamés in a La Liga match on April 23, 2025. Athletic Bilbao enters as a strong favorite due to recent form and home advantage, while Las Palmas will aim to challenge and improve on prior seasons' struggles in away fixtures.
Key Factors to Consider
- Athletic Bilbao has shown solid form in recent matches, including consecutive victories against Las Palmas in their last encounters (3-2 and 2-0 wins). Las Palmas has faced challenges in away games but maintains potential for counterattacks and resilient defense.
- In their last meetings, Athletic Bilbao won both matches in the current and previous season, demonstrating dominance with scores 3-2 and 2-0. Historically, Bilbao holds a clear advantage in H2H.
- No specific injury data available from the retrieved sources; however, no major absences reported that could significantly affect Athletic Bilbao's lineup currently.
- Playing at San Mamés gives Athletic Bilbao a significant home field advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard for April in Bilbao, favoring the home team.
- Athletic Bilbao are motivated to secure home points to strengthen their league standing, while Las Palmas may be driven to upset and gain critical points in their away challenge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Athletic Bilbao: -260, Las Palmas: 650, Draw: 420 | Athletic Bilbao win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Athletic Bilbao: -1.25 -118, Las Palmas: 1.25 -102 | Athletic Bilbao -1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Athletic Bilbao -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Athletic Bilbao is predicted to win this match based on current form, home advantage, and superior head-to-head record. A competitive game is expected, but Athletic Bilbao should maintain control.
Predicted Score: 2-0