Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-21
- Time: 11:15 PM UTC
- Location: Atlanta Braves Home Stadium
Game Overview
This MLB matchup features the Atlanta Braves hosting the St. Louis Cardinals, two historically competitive teams with a long-standing rivalry. The Braves hold the edge in recent head-to-head contests and season-long performance metrics. Both teams enter this game with momentum from winning their last five matches, making this an intriguing and closely contested game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atlanta Braves have dominated recent encounters, winning their last 5 matches with an average of 4.0 runs per game. The St. Louis Cardinals also come in strong with 5 consecutive wins, averaging 2.6 runs per game. Historically, the Braves have a higher scoring average (4.5 PPG) compared to the Cardinals (4.1 PPG).
- Across 178 games since 1993, Braves lead with 98 wins to Cardinals' 80. Overall, the Cardinals have a slight all-time advantage with a 52.5% win rate over the Braves but currently hold a 2-game winning streak against them. Recent form favors the Braves, especially for home games.
- No specific injury reports were found for either team at the time of this analysis, suggesting both teams likely have their key players available.
- The game is played at the Braves' home venue, which provides them the home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions were not explicitly mentioned but could be assumed typical for an April late evening game with no reported interruptions.
- Both teams are motivated, reflected in their recent 5-game wins streaks, aiming to assert dominance in the early season and build momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atlanta Braves: -184, St. Louis Cardinals: 154 | Atlanta Braves to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Atlanta Braves: -1.5 @ 1.16, St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 @ -1.40 | Atlanta Braves -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -1.10, Under 8.5: -1.10 | Under 8.5 total runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Atlanta Braves -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlanta Braves at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Prediction favors the Atlanta Braves to win based on home advantage, recent dominance in head-to-head, and better scoring averages. The game is expected to be competitive with moderate scoring, around 8 to 9 total runs.
Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 5 – 3 St. Louis Cardinals