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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-21
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Citi Field, New York

Game Overview

The New York Mets host the Philadelphia Phillies in an NL East showdown. The Mets lead the division with a 15-7 record and are dominant at home (9-1), while the Phillies hold a 13-9 record with a subpar 4-5 away performance. Mets' starting pitcher Tylor Megill has been impressive this season with a 1.40 ERA, whereas Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola. The Mets recently swept a four-game series versus St. Louis, showing strong late-inning offense and bullpen depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Mets are on a 13-4 run in their last 17 games, excelling at home with solid offense and pitching. The Phillies are solid but inconsistent on the road, facing struggles in away environments. Mets' payroll and star acquisitions like Juan Soto reflect their high expectations and in-form status.
  • Recent clashes favor the Mets, especially at Citi Field where they have a strong home winning streak against the Phillies. Phillies have struggled in these matchups, and Mets' late-inning comebacks have been a hallmark recently.
  • No significant injury updates reported that would drastically affect starting pitchers or key hitters for either side at this time.
  • Game held at Mets' home venue, Citi Field, which favors the Mets due to familiar conditions and fan support. Weather and other external conditions not reported to be impactful.
  • Mets keen to extend their NL East lead and maintain home dominance. Phillies motivated to improve their road record and challenge division leaders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York Mets: -118, Philadelphia Phillies: 100 New York Mets ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread New York Mets -1.5: 172, Philadelphia Phillies +1.5: -210 Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 8: -105, Under 8: -115 Under 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Mets 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Mets to win the game, continuing their strong home form with effective starting pitching and clutch hitting in later innings.

Predicted Score: Mets 4 – Phillies 2


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Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-21
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Atlanta Braves Home Stadium

Game Overview

This MLB matchup features the Atlanta Braves hosting the St. Louis Cardinals, two historically competitive teams with a long-standing rivalry. The Braves hold the edge in recent head-to-head contests and season-long performance metrics. Both teams enter this game with momentum from winning their last five matches, making this an intriguing and closely contested game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlanta Braves have dominated recent encounters, winning their last 5 matches with an average of 4.0 runs per game. The St. Louis Cardinals also come in strong with 5 consecutive wins, averaging 2.6 runs per game. Historically, the Braves have a higher scoring average (4.5 PPG) compared to the Cardinals (4.1 PPG).
  • Across 178 games since 1993, Braves lead with 98 wins to Cardinals' 80. Overall, the Cardinals have a slight all-time advantage with a 52.5% win rate over the Braves but currently hold a 2-game winning streak against them. Recent form favors the Braves, especially for home games.
  • No specific injury reports were found for either team at the time of this analysis, suggesting both teams likely have their key players available.
  • The game is played at the Braves' home venue, which provides them the home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions were not explicitly mentioned but could be assumed typical for an April late evening game with no reported interruptions.
  • Both teams are motivated, reflected in their recent 5-game wins streaks, aiming to assert dominance in the early season and build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta Braves: -184, St. Louis Cardinals: 154 Atlanta Braves to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Atlanta Braves: -1.5 @ 1.16, St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 @ -1.40 Atlanta Braves -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5: -1.10, Under 8.5: -1.10 Under 8.5 total runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlanta Braves at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Prediction favors the Atlanta Braves to win based on home advantage, recent dominance in head-to-head, and better scoring averages. The game is expected to be competitive with moderate scoring, around 8 to 9 total runs.

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 5 – 3 St. Louis Cardinals


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Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-21
  • Time: 10:40 PM UTC
  • Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)

Game Overview

This matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds presents a competitive contest, with the Reds slightly favored in the moneyline and spread. Historically, the Reds have a better head-to-head record against the Marlins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Reds have shown stronger overall performance in recent seasons and against the Marlins historically. However, both teams have mixed results in recent games.
  • The Reds have a historical advantage, winning 134 out of 236 games against the Marlins. In their last meeting on August 8, 2024, the Reds won 10-4.
  • Current injury reports are not explicitly mentioned, but both teams should monitor player health closely.
  • Home-field advantage could favor the Marlins, but the Reds' stronger historical record might offset this.
  • Both teams will be motivated to win, with the Reds seeking to continue their strong performance against the Marlins and the Marlins looking to reverse their recent head-to-head trend.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds: -126, Miami Marlins: 108 Cincinnati Reds ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cincinnati Reds: -1.5 134, Miami Marlins: 1.5 -162 Cincinnati Reds ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 8 -105, Under: 8 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 51%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cincinnati Reds at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Cincinnati Reds are likely to win this game, given their historical edge over the Marlins and current form.

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Reds 5-4 Miami Marlins


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Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-21
  • Time: 10:40 PM UTC
  • Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI

Game Overview

The Detroit Tigers host the San Diego Padres in an MLB matchup at Comerica Park. The Padres enter with a solid bullpen ranking second in ERA, while Tigers rely on Randy Vásquez, who has a strong 1.74 ERA over four starts but limited run support. San Diego is playing their second game after a road trip, looking to maintain momentum, whereas Detroit holds an impressive 8-2 home record. Recent trends show the Padres' games tending towards lower scoring with several contests going under the total runs line.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Tigers have been strong at home with an 8-2 record, bolstered by pitching from Vásquez. The Padres have the best bullpen ERA in baseball, supporting their starting pitchers effectively. Offensively, the Padres have struggled somewhat on the road, averaging fewer runs in recent games, while the Tigers' lineup provides moderate support.
  • Recent meetings show competitive play, but the Tigers have managed to capture three wins in a row before dropping the last game. The Padres are trying to avoid a sweep and gain ground in the series.
  • No significant injury reports affect either starting pitcher or key bullpen arms for this matchup.
  • The Padres may experience some fatigue after traveling from Houston the previous night. Comerica Park is a neutral setting for running scoring but tends not to favor hitters excessively.
  • The Padres seek to improve their road record to .500 and build momentum with back-to-back wins, while the Tigers aim to capitalize on home advantage to maintain their strong start to the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Detroit Tigers: -130, San Diego Padres: +110 San Diego Padres ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Detroit Tigers: -1.5 155, San Diego Padres: +1.5 -188 San Diego Padres +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 8 -120, Under: 8 -102 Under 8 runs ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Detroit Tigers 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Detroit Tigers at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Padres are predicted to edge the Tigers due to resilient bullpen strength and the ability of Vásquez to keep runs low but limited offensive support for Detroit. Expect a pitching-dominated game with an under 8 runs outcome.

Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 4 – Detroit Tigers 3


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Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-21
  • Time: 10:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Progressive Field

Game Overview

The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians are set to face off in a highly anticipated matchup as part of their 3-game series, reprising their roles from last year's ALCS. The Yankees, leading the AL East with a 14-8 record, enter this contest after a 4-0 win over the Tampa Bay Rays. The Guardians, second in the AL Central with a 12-9 record, are coming off a 5-4 win in extra innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are performing well, with the Yankees having a slight edge in their record. The Guardians have a strong home record at 5-1.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups have been competitive, and this series is a rematch of last year's ALCS, indicating a strong rivalry.
  • No major injury updates have been reported for either team recently.
  • Weather conditions are not expected to significantly impact this game.
  • Both teams are highly motivated due to their strong playoff aspirations and past series history.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yankees -122, Guardians 104 Yankees win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Yankees -1.5 138, Guardians 1.5 -166 Yankees cover ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 8.5 -108, Under 8.5 -112 Under ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Yankees 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Yankees are favored, but the Guardians' strong home performance could make for a competitive game.

Predicted Score: Yankees 4, Guardians 3


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Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-21
  • Time: 3:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox, currently with a 12-11 record and third in the AL East, host the Chicago White Sox, who stand at 5-16 and fifth in the AL Central. This game is pivotal as the Red Sox lead the series 2-1 and seek to consolidate their advantage. The matchup features Boston's solid pitching and home-field advantage against Chicago's struggling offense this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boston Red Sox have shown stronger overall performance with a winning record and better recent pitching, including Walker Buehler allowing just 3 runs over his last two starts. Chicago White Sox have struggled with a 5-16 record and less effective offense and pitching this season.
  • The series stands at 2-1 in favor of the Boston Red Sox, indicating recent dominance both at home and overall in this match-up.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact starting lineups or pitching staffs going into this game.
  • Game played at Fenway Park gives Boston a distinct home advantage. Weather conditions for the day are expected to be typical spring weather in Boston without any adverse impact on gameplay.
  • Boston is motivated to close out the series strongly at home and improve their standing in the AL East, while Chicago is looking to avoid further losses and gain momentum despite their poor start to the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston Red Sox: -290, Chicago White Sox: 235 Boston Red Sox ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Boston Red Sox: -1.5 -134, Chicago White Sox: 1.5 112 Boston Red Sox -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 9 -105, Under: 9 -115 Under 9 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boston Red Sox -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston Red Sox to win comfortably given superior recent form, home advantage, and pitching strength.

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5 – Chicago White Sox 2


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Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-21
  • Time: 12:10 AM UTC
  • Location: Coors Field, Denver, CO

Game Overview

The Colorado Rockies host the Washington Nationals in the final game of their series at Coors Field. Starting pitchers are RHP Antonio Senzatela (Rockies) with a 0-3 record and 5.89 ERA, and RHP Bradley Lord (Nationals) holding a 0-1 record and 4.82 ERA. Both teams have struggled offensively and on the mound this season, with the Rockies sitting 5th in the NL West and Nationals 4th in the NL East. The Rockies have a potent home advantage at Coors Field, known for a hitter-friendly environment, which may influence scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Colorado Rockies have an overall team ERA of 5.50 and batting average of .272, slightly better than the Nationals who have a 5.36 ERA and .231 batting average. The Rockies have hit 13 home runs compared to the Nationals’ 23, but the Nationals have been less consistent on offense. Recent performance favors the Rockies slightly, but their starting pitching has been shaky.
  • This series has seen competitive games with the Rockies trying to leverage their home field advantage. The match on April 18 was postponed, leading to a doubleheader on April 20. Historically, these teams have been evenly matched with slight advantages to the Rockies at Coors Field.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting the starting lineups or pitching rotations for either team currently.
  • Weather conditions forecast at Coors Field are mild with temperatures around mid-50s to low 60s °F and minimal wind (2 mph SW), unlikely to affect pitching or hitting significantly.
  • Both teams are fighting for wins to move up from the bottom of their respective divisions, adding competitive motivation. The Rockies will aim to capitalize on home field while the Nationals seek to salvage the series on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colorado Rockies: +104, Washington Nationals: -115 Washington Nationals ★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread Colorado Rockies: -1.5 (-148), Washington Nationals: +1.5 (128) Washington Nationals +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 10.5: -117, Under 10.5: -103 Over 10.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Washington Nationals -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Rockies are favored to win narrowly due to home advantage and slightly better hitting statistics despite struggling pitching. Expect a moderately high scoring game given Coors Field’s influence, with an emphasis on bullpen performance late in the game.

Predicted Score: Colorado Rockies 5 – Washington Nationals 6


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Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Daikin Park, Houston, TX

Game Overview

The San Diego Padres visit the Houston Astros in a series finale that marks the Astros' 10,000th game in franchise history. Both teams have shown strong performances, with the Padres' Fernando Tatis Jr. on a 20-game on-base streak and the Astros recently benefiting from a go-ahead RBI.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have strong recent performances, with the Astros having shown resilience in tight games and the Padres boasting consistent batting from players like Fernando Tatis Jr.
  • Recent head-to-heads between the Astros and Padres have been competitive, with each side showcasing their strengths.
  • No significant injury news is reported for either team, though updates could change this outlook.
  • Home field advantage might slightly favor the Astros, but both teams are well-traveled and accustomed to different environments.
  • Both teams are highly motivated entering this match; the Astros are marking a milestone, and the Padres seek to extend their winning ways.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Astros: -118, San Diego Padres: 107 San Diego Padres to win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Houston Astros: -1.5 175, San Diego Padres: 1.5 -205 San Diego Padres to cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 7.5 -116, Under: 7.5 -104 Under 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Astros 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Houston Astros at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the strong on-base streak by Fernando Tatis Jr. and the competitive nature of their recent matchups, the Padres have a good chance of securing a win, but the Astros' home field advantage and milestone game motivation might push them to perform well.

Predicted Score: Padres 4, Astros 3


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Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Los Angeles Angels vs San Francisco Giants – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 8:07 PM UTC
  • Location: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California

Game Overview

The Los Angeles Angels are hosting the San Francisco Giants in a pivotal MLB matchup. The Angels have the home advantage at Angel Stadium, where they have seen success against the Giants, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings. The pitching matchup features Angels’ Yusei Kikuchi taking on Giants’ veteran Justin Verlander, who has shown strong form on the road this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Giants have struggled with consistency at the plate this season, ranking in the bottom 10 in batting average and strikeout rate, though they are 7th in the league averaging 5.0 runs per game and have a higher-than-league-average home run rate. The Angels have recent mixed results but have performed well against the Giants historically. Verlander boasts a 3-0 away record and a 3.91 ERA in 2024, providing a strong pitching factor for the Giants.
  • Angels lead recent encounters, winning 5 of the last 6 games against the Giants. The home advantage favors the Angels, who have a strong record at Angel Stadium against San Francisco.
  • No major injury updates were detailed in recent reports, suggesting both teams might be close to full strength for this game.
  • Playing at home gives the Angels a familiar environment, potentially boosting performance. Weather and stadium conditions at Angel Stadium in Anaheim typically favor hitters, which may impact scoring.
  • The Giants are looking to improve on their recent form, having dropped 3 of their last 4 games. The Angels seek to maintain dominance over the Giants and leverage home field momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Los Angeles Angels: -101, San Francisco Giants: -109 Los Angeles Angels ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Los Angeles Angels +1.5: -168, San Francisco Giants -1.5: 148 Angels +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 8.5: -120, Under 8.5: 100 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Angels 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The game is expected to be closely contested, but the Angels hold a slight edge due to home advantage, stronger recent head-to-head results, and pitching matchup. The prediction favors a narrow win for the Los Angeles Angels.

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Angels 4 – 3 San Francisco Giants


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Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 6:36 PM UTC
  • Location: Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas

Game Overview

The upcoming MLB game features the Texas Rangers hosting the Los Angeles Dodgers. The previous encounter on April 19, 2025, resulted in a narrow 4-3 victory for the Rangers. Both teams have demonstrated competitive offensive and pitching performances, with key contributions from Rangers’ Adolis García and Dodgers’ Freddie Freeman.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Texas Rangers showcased strong hitting in the last game, including significant home runs and clutch hitting that secured their 4-3 win. The Dodgers, despite a close loss, displayed resilience with power hitting and timely offensive plays. Pitching performances were competitive but will be crucial to watch, as bullpen depth and starting pitcher effectiveness remain pivotal.
  • Recent head-to-head results favor the Rangers with a 4-3 victory on April 19. Historically, the Dodgers tend to be strong competitors but the Rangers have gained momentum in this early season matchup. This series indicates closely matched teams with marginal advantages swinging between games.
  • There are no significant injury reports affecting starters or key players for either team as of current information, allowing both teams to field their strongest lineups.
  • The game is played at Globe Life Field, a hitter-friendly ballpark, which may influence total runs scored. Weather is not a variable due to the indoor stadium. Pitching matchups and bullpen management will be influential in such an environment.
  • Both teams have strong playoff aspirations, increasing motivation for competitive play. The Rangers will aim to defend home advantage and build on their recent win, while the Dodgers seek to bounce back quickly to maintain season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline los_angeles_dodgers: -156, texas_rangers: 132 Texas Rangers ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread los_angeles_dodgers_-1.5: 104, texas_rangers_+1.5: -125 Texas Rangers +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over_9: 100, under_9: -122 Under 9 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

The game is expected to be tightly contested again, but the Texas Rangers hold a slight edge due to recent performance and home field. The prediction favors the Rangers to win a close game with effective pitching and timely hitting.

Predicted Score: Texas Rangers 5 – 4 Los Angeles Dodgers


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