Match Analysis: Parma vs Juventus – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-21
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Game Overview
The Serie A fixture between Parma and Juventus is set to take place at Parma's home ground, the Stadio Ennio Tardini. Juventus, currently 4th in the Serie A standings, visit a struggling Parma side positioned 16th. Juventus have a strong historical dominance in recent years, with multiple consecutive away victories against Parma. Parma, however, managed a 2-2 draw at home earlier this season, showing some resilience in their recent fixtures. The match is crucial for Juventus as they look to consolidate their top-four position, while Parma fight to avoid relegation concerns.
Key Factors to Consider
- Juventus have been inconsistent but generally stronger than Parma this season, securing important wins away from home and maintaining a top-four position. Parma have struggled with results, winning only one of their last 15 Serie A encounters against Juventus and sitting near the relegation zone. Juventus have scored at least two goals in their last four league matches against Parma, indicating attacking strength.
- Juventus hold a dominant record in recent encounters, winning the last three away matches against Parma and scoring at least two goals in the last four meetings. Parma's only recent win against Juventus was in 2015. The first leg this season ended in a 2-2 draw, the first time Parma have avoided defeat against Juventus in both seasonal matches since 2010/11.
- No specific injury reports are provided from the current data sources, suggesting both teams might have their main squad members available. However, usual squad fitness and rotation could play a part closer to kickoff.
- The match is played in Parma’s home stadium which generally aids the home side. There is no mention of adverse weather or other external conditions affecting the game. The fixture falls on a Monday, which might influence preparation routines slightly.
- Juventus are likely highly motivated to secure three points to preserve their Champions League qualification aspirations. Parma, near the relegation zone, are motivated to gain crucial points to improve their survival chances, adding competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Juventus: -130, Parma: 360, Draw: 270 | Juventus win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Juventus -0.75: 102, Parma +75: -122 | Juventus -0.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Juventus 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Juventus at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventus are favorites to win this match due to their stronger form, superior head-to-head record, and position in the league standings. Parma's resilience and home advantage may limit the goal margin, but Juventus should secure the victory.
Predicted Score: Juventus 2 – 1 Parma