Match Analysis: Burnley vs Sheffield United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-21
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Turf Moor, Burnley, England
Game Overview
The upcoming EFL Championship match between Burnley and Sheffield United is set at Turf Moor, reflecting a competitive fixture between two teams placed closely in the standings. Burnley holds a slight edge in points and form, playing at home, seeking to consolidate their position near the top of the table. Sheffield United, while trailing slightly, have shown resilience and goal scoring ability in previous encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Burnley currently sits 3rd with 44 points from 22 games, showing strong home performance and recent wins against competitive teams. Sheffield United holds 6th place with 48 points from 22 games, with notable offensive strength demonstrated in past matches, including a dominant 5-2 win over Burnley in November 2022. Burnley’s defensive solidity contrasts with Sheffield’s more attacking style.
- In the last six meetings, Burnley has won 3 matches (2 at home), Sheffield United has 2 wins (both home), and there has been 1 draw. Notably, Sheffield United won a high-scoring 5-2 game in November 2022, but Burnley defeated Sheffield 2-0 in December 2024, showing a recent competitive balance.
- No specific injury updates are currently available for either team, suggesting relatively full squads for the match.
- Playing at Turf Moor is a significant advantage for Burnley, known for strong home support and familiar conditions. The timing in the season (late April) means both teams are likely highly motivated for points as they contest promotion or playoff positions.
- Burnley, sitting just below the league leaders, is motivated to secure a home win to strengthen their promotion chances. Sheffield United, with a slight points advantage but away from home, will aim to spoil Burnley’s home advantage and keep their push for top places alive.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Burnley: -110, Sheffield United: 330, Draw: 220 | Burnley Win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Burnley -0.5: -105, Sheffield United +50: -115 | Burnley -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2: -115, Under 2: -105 | Over 2 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Burnley 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Burnley is favored to win narrowly due to home advantage and recent form, but Sheffield United’s attacking threat makes the match competitive, possibly decided by a single goal.
Predicted Score: 2-1