Match Analysis: Millwall vs Norwich City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-21
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Den, London, England
Game Overview
The upcoming EFL Championship match between Millwall and Norwich City at The Den on April 21, 2025, is a key fixture as both teams have shown competitive form in recent meetings. Norwich City recently won the last encounter 2-1 at their home ground, Carrow Road, but Millwall claimed a narrow 1-0 victory in their previous home meeting. This match promises to be tightly contested given the historical results and current league standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Millwall has demonstrated solid home form and resilience, recently beating Norwich 1-0 at The Den on Dec 29, 2023. Norwich City has shown strength away from home sporadically but lost 1-0 in their last visit to Millwall. The teams have split results in recent head-to-heads, with Millwall winning 4 out of the last 5 encounters and Norwich only one. Both sides are motivated to improve their league positions as the season progresses.
- In the last five matches between the two teams, Millwall has won 4 times and Norwich City once. The average goals per match is low at approximately 1.0, indicating tight contests. Recent scores reflect competitive balance but a slight edge to Millwall in home games.
- Current injury details for both teams were not explicitly available in the gathered data, suggesting no major injury news impacting starting lineups significantly for this fixture.
- The match is played at Millwall's home stadium, The Den, which can provide a home advantage. Weather or pitch conditions are not specified but typical London spring conditions should be expected. No other significant external disruptions or motivational factors are noted at this time.
- Both teams are fighting for valuable points in the EFL Championship with Norwich looking to bounce back after a narrow win at home, and Millwall eager to leverage home advantage to even up the recent results and improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Millwall: 1.25, Norwich City: 2.25, Draw: 2.1 | Millwall win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Millwall: -0.25 -112, Norwich City: +25 -108 | Millwall -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: 1.00, Under 2.25: 83 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Millwall 26% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Millwall at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Millwall's solid home performances, the recent narrow win against Norwich, and the slightly better home head-to-head statistics, Millwall is favored to edge this tight contest, but Norwich's resilience should not be underestimated, making a close match outcome likely.
Predicted Score: 1-0