Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-19
- Time: 5:10 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park (Detroit)
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals face off in a closely contested AL Central matchup. The Tigers recently defeated the Royals 6-1 (Apr 17, 2025) and hold a 4-game winning streak in their last 5 meetings[2][5]. Both teams have near-identical historical PPG (4.6)[2], but the Royals show recent offensive struggles (2.2 PPG in last 5)[2].
Key Factors to Consider
- Tigers demonstrate recent dominance (4-1 last 5), while Royals show inconsistent scoring[2][5].
- Tigers lead 155-144 since 2002 with 4 consecutive wins[2][5]. All-time regular season record stands at 396-400 (49.7%) in favor of Royals[5].
- No injury data provided in available sources.
- Home advantage for Tigers (recent 6-1 home win)[5]. Weather data unavailable.
- Tigers aim to extend division dominance; Royals seek to break losing streak against rivals[2][5].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | DET -120 | KC +102 | Detroit Tigers (Moneyline) | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | DET -1.5 (+168) | KC +1.5 (-205) | Royals +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115) | Under 8 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tigers win (65% confidence) based on recent form and H2H dominance, with under 8 runs likely (58% confidence).
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 4-3 Kansas City Royals