Match Analysis: Saint Etienne vs Lyon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-20
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne, France
Game Overview
Saint-Etienne, currently struggling in the league with a record of 6-6-17, hosts Lyon, who are in 4th place with a record of 15-6-8. Given their recent performances and league standings, Lyon appears to have a strong edge in this match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lyon is performing significantly better than Saint Etienne in the league. Lyon's recent wins over Le Havre and Lille, along with a strong showing against Manchester United in the Europa League, indicate their current strength. Saint-Etienne, however, has struggled to win consistently.
- Historically, Lyon has a strong edge in this rivalry, with recent results showing Lyon's dominance. The last few matches have seen Lyon win more often, including a 1-0 victory in November 2024.
- Both teams have some injuries. Saint-Etienne is missing players like P. Cornud, Y. Maçon, and A. Boakye, while Lyon is missing E. Molébé and E. Nuamah.
- Since the match is at Saint-Etienne's home stadium, they might receive a boost from their fans. However, Lyon's overall quality and recent form could counter this advantage.
- Lyon is highly motivated to secure a top-four spot and European qualification. Saint-Etienne is fighting to avoid relegation, which could push them to perform better at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Lyon -155, Saint Etienne 350, Draw 350 | Lyon win | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Spread | Lyon -0.75 -125, Saint Etienne 75 105 | Lyon covers the spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.25 -112, Under 3.25 -108 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Lyon -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Lyon at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Lyon's superior form and past results, they are likely to win this match.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Lyon