Match Analysis: Arouca vs CF Estrela – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-19
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal
Game Overview
This match between Arouca and CF Estrela Amadora is a crucial fixture in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Both teams are towards the lower end of the league table, with Arouca in 12th place after recent corrections and Estrela Amadora in a similar position, highlighting the match's importance for both teams to secure better standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arouca has a mixed record with 7 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while Estrela Amadora has 5 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses. Arouca generally performs better at home.
- Recent head-to-head matches show Estrela Amadora won 2-1 in their last meeting, but Arouca has a strong history of scoring against Estrela.
- No specific injuries mentioned for this match.
- Weather conditions and home advantage might influence Arouca's performance.
- Both teams are highly motivated to gain points and improve their league standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arouca: -105, CF Estrela: 290, Draw: 220 | Arouca | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Arouca: -0.5 102, CF Estrela: 50 -122 | Arouca -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arouca -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arouca is likely to win given their home advantage and recent form compared to Estrela Amadora.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Arouca