Match Analysis: Union Berlin vs VfB Stuttgart – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 19, 2025
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: An der alten Försterei, Berlin, Germany
Game Overview
This match between Union Berlin and VfB Stuttgart brings together two teams in different positions in the Bundesliga. Union Berlin is currently ranked 13th with 34 points, while VfB Stuttgart sits at 11th with 40 points. Both teams are looking for crucial points to improve their standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Union Berlin has struggled to score goals, ranking 17th in goals scored with 27 across 29 games. Meanwhile, VfB Stuttgart ranks 5th in scoring, averaging 1.8 goals per game. VfB Stuttgart's Ermedin Demirovic is a key performer with 13 goals this season.
- In recent head-to-head matches, VfB Stuttgart has had the upper hand, winning three of their last four encounters with Union Berlin. The last meeting ended 3-2 in favor of Stuttgart.
- No specific injury reports are highlighted for this match, though general squad fitness and availability could influence the lineup.
- Weather conditions and the home field advantage could slightly favor Union Berlin, but VfB Stuttgart's attacking prowess may counteract these factors.
- Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to improve their position in the Bundesliga table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Union Berlin: 180, VfB Stuttgart: 145, Draw: 250 | VfB Stuttgart | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Union Berlin: 0 +105, VfB Stuttgart: 0 -125 | VfB Stuttgart to win by a narrow margin | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 2.75 -102, Under: 2.75 -118 | Under 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | VfB Stuttgart 10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: VfB Stuttgart at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the stronger attacking record of VfB Stuttgart and their recent head-to-head success, they might have a slight edge. However, Union Berlin's defensive solidity could lead to a tight contest.
Predicted Score: 0-1 or 1-1