Match Analysis: SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-19
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany
Game Overview
SC Freiburg and TSG Hoffenheim are set to clash on April 19, 2025. SC Freiburg ranks 6th in the Bundesliga with 45 points, while Hoffenheim is 14th with 30 points. Freiburg recently won against Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1, while Hoffenheim secured a 2-0 victory over FSV Mainz. The matchup favors Freiburg due to their home advantage and better recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- SC Freiburg has a stronger position in the league and recent performances, with key players like Vincenzo Grifo and Ritsu Doan contributing significantly. TSG Hoffenheim, however, relies heavily on Andrej Kramaric for goals and has struggled defensively.
- In recent head-to-head matches, SC Freiburg has generally performed better, including a 3-2 win in January 2024 and a 2-1 win in March 2023.
- Both teams have injuries; Freiburg has players like J. Adamu and E. Dinkçi out, while Hoffenheim is missing players like L. Østigård and I. Bebou.
- Seasonal weather conditions and home support could influence Freiburg's performance positively.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their league standing. Freiburg seeks to maintain a top-six position, while Hoffenheim aims to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | SC Freiburg -105, TSG Hoffenheim 270, Draw 280 | SC Freiburg | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | SC Freiburg -0.5 -105, TSG Hoffenheim 50 -115 | SC Freiburg | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 -108, Under 2.75 -112 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | SC Freiburg 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: SC Freiburg at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
SC Freiburg is likely to win due to their home advantage and current form.
Predicted Score: 2-1 to SC Freiburg