Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Saturday, 19 April 2025
- Time: 7:30 AM UTC
- Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland
Game Overview
The New Zealand Warriors host the Brisbane Broncos in Round 7 of the NRL. Both teams are looking to bounce back from recent losses. The Warriors hope to extend their undefeated home record at Go Media Stadium in 2025, while the Broncos seek their first win in Auckland since 2019.
Key Factors to Consider
- Warriors have been strong at home, winning both their games at Go Media Stadium in 2025. Broncos have won three of their past four in New Zealand.
- Recent head-to-heads favor the Broncos, especially in New Zealand.
- Warriors miss James Fisher-Harris and Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad. Broncos have Jordan Riki returning but Jack Gosiewski is out.
- Weather and crowd support could influence the game, with the Warriors benefiting from a vocal home crowd.
- Both teams are highly motivated after recent losses, but the Warriors have additional impetus from playing at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -260 (Broncos), 215 (Warriors), 2100 (Draw) | Brisbane Broncos | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | -8.5 -115 Broncos, +8.5 -115 Warriors | Brisbane Broncos -8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over_under | Over 47.5 -115, Under 47.5 -115 | Over 47.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Brisbane Broncos -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 47.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent form and injuries, the Broncos are favored to win.
Predicted Score: Warriors 20 – 32 Broncos