Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Bahia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 18, 2025
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Game Overview
Cruzeiro hosts Bahia in a Brasileiro Serie A fixture. Cruzeiro recently suffered a loss to Internacional, while Bahia drew with Santos. Both teams have had mixed performances this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cruzeiro lost their last game 3-0 to Internacional, but they have been strong at home. Bahia drew 2-2 with Santos and are seeking consistency.
- Recent head-to-heads show Bahia has had success with a 4-1 win in the past, but matches have often been close, including a 1-1 draw.
- Cruzeiro has players like João Marcelo and Japa sidelined. Bahia is missing Gabriel Xavier and M. Araújo.
- Home advantage could be significant for Cruzeiro, while Bahia's travel might impact performance.
- Both teams are motivated to gain points in the Serie A standings, with Cruzeiro looking to recover from a recent loss.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cruzeiro: 125, Bahia: 245, Draw: 220 | Cruzeiro win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | -0.25 Cruzeiro -110, 25 Bahia -110 | Cruzeiro covers spread | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over_under | Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cruzeiro -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cruzeiro is slightly favored due to home advantage and past performances against Bahia.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Cruzeiro