Match Analysis: Oakland Athletics vs New York Mets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-13
- Time: 8:05 PM UTC
- Location: Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, CA, USA
Game Overview
The Oakland Athletics host the New York Mets in a critical MLB matchup. Both teams are looking to secure a series win, with the Mets favored due to their strong pitching and form. The Athletics will rely on home support to upset the odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets have a better overall record and strong pitching, while the Athletics are inconsistent but have shown resilience at home.
- Recent head-to-head statistics favor the Mets, but this series has been closely contested.
- Both teams have significant injuries, with the Athletics missing key players like Brady Basso and Ken Waldichuk, and the Mets dealing with absences of Jeff McNeil and Sean Manaea.
- The game is at a neutral venue in Sacramento, which may affect both teams equally.
- Both teams are highly motivated to win the series, but the Mets are more dominant on paper.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | >New York Mets: -142, Oakland Athletics: 120 | New York Mets | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | >New York Mets: -1.5 114, Oakland Athletics: 1.5 -137 | Oakland Athletics +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over_under | >Over 9 -108, Under 9 -112 | Under 9 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Mets 11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 9 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The New York Mets are expected to win due to their superior pitching and form in recent games.
Predicted Score: Oakland Athletics 3, New York Mets 5
