Match Analysis: San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-13
- Time: 7:40 PM UTC
- Location: Frost Bank Center
Game Overview
The San Antonio Spurs host the Toronto Raptors in a game that doesn't have direct playoff implications for either team, but can impact lottery standings. The Spurs have a recent trend of covering spreads against Atlantic Division opponents, while the Raptors often cover as underdogs.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Spurs average 113.8 points per game and allow 116.7, while the Raptors average 110.8 points and allow 115. The Spurs have a stronger offense but a weaker defense compared to the Raptors.
- Historically, the road team has often won in matchups between these teams, but recent trends favor the Spurs' ability to cover spreads against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Spurs are without Riley Minix, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, De’Aaron Fox, and Victor Wembanyama. The Raptors are missing Ulrich Chomche, Ja’Kobe Walter, Jakob Poeltl, RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, and Gradey Dick.
- The Spurs have struggled at home recently, losing four straight. However, they have a strong record as favorites against Atlantic Division teams.
- Both teams are out of playoff contention, but the Spurs may seek to improve their home record.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Spurs -210, Raptors 176 | Spurs Win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Spurs -5.5 (-108), Raptors +5.5 (-112) | Take the Raptors +5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over_under | Over 228.5 (-112), Under 228.5 (-108) | Under 228.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Antonio Spurs 93% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 228.5 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: San Antonio Spurs at 93% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The San Antonio Spurs are favored to win based on their performance against Atlantic Division teams and recent trends, but taking the points with the Raptors might offer value given their historical covering ability as underdogs.
Predicted Score: Spurs 116 – Raptors 113