Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-13
- Time: 5:40 PM UTC
- Location: Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The Tampa Bay Rays host the Atlanta Braves in the final game of a three-game series, with the series tied 1-1. Both teams are looking for momentum, with the Rays struggling at home despite their better overall record and the Braves seeking to improve their road performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Rays have a 6-8 overall record and are 6-5 at home, while the Braves are 4-10 overall and 1-8 away. The Rays have gone 3-7 in their last ten games, while the Braves have gone 4-6 in the same period.
- The series is tied 1-1, with each team winning a game in different circumstances. The Rays need a win to boost their momentum, especially after recent losses.
- The Rays have several players on the injured list, including Kevin Kelly, Jonny Deluca, and Shane McClanahan, while the Braves are missing Ronald Acuna Jr. and Spencer Strider.
- Weather and crowd support might influence the game, with Tampa Bay possibly benefiting from their home advantage. The estimated pleasant weather could favor both teams.
- Both teams are highly motivated to win this final game of the series to improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -134 Braves, 114 Rays | Rays to win | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | -1.5 Braves 126, 1.5 Rays -152 | Rays to cover | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over_under | Over 8 -102, Under 8 -120 | Under 8 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the Rays' better home performance and Shane Baz's strong start to the season, they might have an edge, but Chris Sale can pose difficulties for the Rays' batters.
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 4, Atlanta Braves 3