Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 13, 2025
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
St. Louis City SC, struggling in recent games, hosts Columbus Crew SC, who are performing well and are at the top of the Eastern Conference. This marks their first league meeting, though they previously met in a 2023 Leagues Cup match where Columbus won 2-1.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Louis City SC has been underperforming with just eight points and has not scored in three consecutive games. Columbus Crew SC is unbeaten and has a strong defensive record, conceding only five goals this season.
- The only previous meeting between the teams was in a 2023 Leagues Cup match where Columbus won. The two teams have never faced each other in MLS.
- St. Louis City SC is expected to be without Eduard Löwen, Chris Durkin, and Jannes Horn. Columbus has injuries but their impact is less significant.
- Columbus recently made a significant signing, which could boost their performance. St. Louis faces pressure to improve their home record.
- Columbus is motivated to maintain their top spot in the Eastern Conference, while St. Louis needs a win to turn their season around.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC: 165, St. Louis City SC: 155, Draw: 260 | Columbus Crew SC to win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Columbus Crew SC: 0 -108, St. Louis City SC: 0 -112 | Columbus Crew SC to win by a slim margin | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over_under | Over: 2.75 100, Under: 2.75 -120 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC 46% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Columbus Crew SC at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Columbus's current form and St. Louis's struggles, Columbus is likely to win. However, St. Louis's determination to end their losing streak at home might lead to a tight match.
Predicted Score: St. Louis City SC 0 – 1 Columbus Crew SC