Match Analysis: Bahia vs Mirassol – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-13
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil
Game Overview
Bahia hosts Mirassol in the Brasileirao Serie A on April 13, 2025. Bahia, ranked 13th, and Mirassol, ranked 17th, both seek to improve their standings. Recent performances show both teams have struggled for wins, with Bahia drawing two games and Mirassol losing one and drawing one.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bahia has shown moderate attacking prowess with an average of 1.5 goals per match but has also conceded 1.5 goals. Mirassol has scored fewer goals, averaging one per match but has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals on average.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but in general matches, Bahia tends to be more consistent at home.
- No specific injury reports are mentioned as significant factors affecting team lineups.
- Weather conditions in Salvador should not significantly impact the match.
- Both teams are motivated to secure their first win in the season to climb up the standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bahia -175, Mirassol 500, Draw 310 | Bahia win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Bahia -1 100, Mirassol 1 -120 | Bahia win by one goal | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over_under | Over 2.5 105, Under 2.5 -125 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bahia -14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bahia is expected to win based on their home advantage and slightly better form.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Bahia