Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs SC Farense – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 13 April 2025
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Jose Gomes
Game Overview
CF Estrela Amadora hosts SC Farense in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Both teams are positioned near the lower half of the league table, with Estrela Amadora ranking 15th and SC Farense at 17th. The match is expected to be closely contested, given the teams' recent form and head-to-head history.
Key Factors to Consider
- Estrela Amadora won 2 out of their last 10 games, while SC Farense won none, drawing 3. Estrela Amadora has a slightly better record at home, but SC Farense's experience in later-game goals might impact the outcome.
- In the last 8 meetings, Estrela Amadora won 2 games, Farense won 3, and there have been 3 draws. The goal difference favors SC Farense 11-8.
- No major injury reports are available to significantly impact team performances.
- No major external factors are expected to influence the match outcome.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings in the league.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CF Estrela: 175, SC Farense: 170, Draw: 190 | Draw | ★★☆☆☆ 45% |
Spread | CF Estrela: 0 -108, SC Farense: 0 -112 | SC Farense | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over_under | Over 2: -108, Under 2: -112 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 31% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the teams' recent performances and head-to-head statistics, this match leans towards a draw, with a slight advantage to SC Farense based on their better odds for some markets.
Predicted Score: 0:0