Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Parma – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-13
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy
Game Overview
Fiorentina, positioned 8th in Serie A, faces 16th placed Parma in a crucial match for their European aspirations. Fiorentina has shown solid offensive capabilities, while Parma struggles to secure wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fiorentina has a strong home record with 15 wins this season and averages 1.98 goals per match. Conversely, Parma has only 5 wins and averages just 1.26 goals per match, struggling significantly in away fixtures.
- In their last 25 encounters, Fiorentina has won 12, drawn 8, and lost 5 when playing at home. Historically, the teams score an average of 2.58 goals per match against each other.
- Fiorentina's key players are healthy, while Parma has several absences, including Yordan Osorio and Matteo Cancellieri, which may impact their performance.
- The match takes place at Fiorentina's home ground, providing them with a home advantage, particularly considering their playoff push.
- Fiorentina is motivated to secure a European qualification spot, while Parma is fighting against relegation. This adds intensity to the match.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
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Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fiorentina 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fiorentina is expected to secure a win, potentially with multiple goals scored.
Predicted Score: 3-1