Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-12
- Time: 7:30 AM UTC
- Location: Optus Stadium, Perth
Game Overview
This NRL Round 6 match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and North Queensland Cowboys will feature significant lineup changes for the Rabbitohs due to injuries. The Cowboys are favored, but the Rabbitohs enjoy strong support in Perth.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have had varying degrees of success this season. The Cowboys have a strong squad, while the Rabbitohs face injury challenges, particularly with Latrell Mitchell shifting to five-eighth.
- Historically, head-to-head matches have been competitive, but recent form gives the Cowboys an edge.
- The Rabbitohs face key absences, including Cody Walker and Jamie Humphreys, affecting their halves pairing.
- The match is part of a double header in Perth, which may add to the atmosphere but could also impact performance due to potential crowd and logistical factors.
- Both teams will be highly motivated, but the Cowboys might have an added edge due to their recent form and consistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cowboys: -128, Rabbitohs: 112, Draw: 19 | Cowboys win | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Spread | Cowboys -1.5: -120, Rabbitohs +1.5: -110 | Cowboys to cover -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
Over_under | Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 | Under 49.5 | ★★★☆☆ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | North Queensland Cowboys 1060% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 49.5 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: North Queensland Cowboys at 1060% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Cowboys are likely to win due to their consistent performance and squad strength compared to the injured and reconfigured Rabbitohs lineup.
Predicted Score: Cowboys 23, Rabbitohs 20