Match Analysis: Udinese vs AC Milan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-11
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Game Overview
Udinese, currently ranked 10th, hosts AC Milan, ranked 9th in Serie A. AC Milan is favored to win based on recent odds and form. The match is expected to be competitive, with AC Milan having a slight edge due to their historical performance against Udinese.
Key Factors to Consider
- Udinese has shown recent improvement with a form of WWDLL, while AC Milan's form is LLWWL. AC Milan tends to dominate possession but has struggled with consistency.
- Historically, AC Milan has had the upper hand in matches against Udinese. The most common result when Udinese hosts is a 2-1 win for AC Milan.
- Udinese is missing key players like Razvan Sava and Souleymane Toure, while AC Milan's R. Loftus-Cheek is sidelined.
- The match will be played in Udine, which could give Udinese an advantage due to home support.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings in Serie A.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AC Milan: -105, Udinese: 275, Draw: 265 | AC Milan to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | AC Milan: -0.5 -102, Udinese: 50 -118 | AC Milan to cover | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over_under | Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AC Milan -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AC Milan is expected to win this match, given their historical performance and current form.
Predicted Score: 1-0 or 2-1 in favor of AC Milan