Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Alianza Lima – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 11, 2025
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio do Morumbi, São Paulo, Brazil
Game Overview
São Paulo hosts Alianza Lima in a CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group D match. Both teams are looking to gain crucial points in the competition.
Key Factors to Consider
- São Paulo has shown solid defensive performances, while Alianza Lima faces challenges in away matches.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but São Paulo generally has a stronger record in home games.
- No major injuries reported from either side.
- Home advantage could play a significant role for São Paulo.
- Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win in the competition.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | EV Pick |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -293 (Sao Paulo), 800 (Alianza Lima), 370 (Draw) | São Paulo to win | ★★★★☆ 80% | São Paulo to win -73% |
Spread | -1.25 (Sao Paulo) -115, 1.25 (Alianza Lima) -105 | São Paulo to cover -1.25 spread | ★★★★☆ 75% | São Paulo to cover -1.25 spread -100% |
Over_under | Over 2.5: -104, Under 2.5: -116 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% | Under 2.5 goals -100% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sao Paulo 530% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 530% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 66.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
São Paulo is likely to secure a victory given their home advantage and stronger form compared to Alianza Lima.
Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of São Paulo