Match Analysis: Derby County vs Burnley – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: April 8, 2025
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Pride Park Stadium
Game Overview
Derby County, currently 21st in the Championship, face league leaders Burnley. Despite a recent four-match winning streak ending for Derby, they have been strong at home. Burnley, undefeated in their last 27 league games, aim to retain their top spot.
Key Factors to Consider
- Derby County are struggling but have had success at home, winning their last three games at Pride Park. Burnley have the best defensive record in the Championship and are on an impressive unbeaten run.
- Burnley have been undefeated in the last 13 meetings with Derby, and their most recent encounter ended in a 0-0 draw.
- Derby County are dealing with several injuries, including key players. Burnley are missing players like Aaron Ramsey and Bashir Humphreys.
- The match is crucial for both teams, with Derby fighting relegation and Burnley seeking to maintain their lead in the Championship.
- Burnley have high motivation to secure their position at the top, while Derby are motivated to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | EV Pick |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Derby County: 330, Burnley: -105, Draw: 205 | Burnley to win | ★★★☆☆ 60% | Burnley to win -100% |
Spread | Burnley: -0.5 -112, Derby County: 50 -108 | Burnley to cover (-0.5) | ★★★☆☆ 55% | Burnley to cover (-0.5) -100% |
Over_under | Over 2: -102, Under 2: -118 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% | Under 2.5 goals -100% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Burnley -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 7% |
Predicted Outcome
Based on the form and head-to-head, Burnley are likely to win this match. The defense of Burnley and their overall performance this season make them favorites.
Predicted Score: 0-2 in favor of Burnley